2012-12-10

Superbowl XLVII Projection, Week 14, Sunday

San Francisco over Houston

Well here we are again. I've got all the eliminations consistent with the NFL, but somehow I show Baltimore having clinched a spot, while all the official channels say they have not. This situation's a little more obvious though. Pittsburgh and Cincinnati could tie in week 16 and both go 9-6-1, and Baltimore could finish 9-7, putting them 3rd in the division, and behind Indianapolis if they can win or tie at least 1 of their next 3.

San Francisco has cracked the 20% chance of being Champions, after Houston first did it in Week 7. For the last several weeks both teams have been hovering in the high teens.

Finally, if I learned anything from the Rams game yesterday, it's that we should always go for two. After all, Zuerlein's massive distance is sort of wasted on PATs anyway, and we've gone 2/2 in the last 2 weeks.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SF9-3-10.77285.68099.58589.05657.12936.00421.071
NE9-30.739++84.15048.96527.68914.872
HOU11-10.72597.485+98.42463.31033.34717.316
SEA8-50.71614.31085.24154.46029.07015.0357.719
DEN10-30.708++84.97444.10123.06411.502
CHI8-50.69122.46877.67844.88322.01910.6225.140
NYG8-50.68359.96179.82445.93521.93410.5124.982
ATL11-20.652++96.02745.75519.1498.446
BAL9-40.61488.193+64.43824.6299.8313.906
GB9-40.58875.92690.78148.29817.3566.6352.494
TB6-70.583-0.5660.2330.0930.0340.013
CIN7-60.5826.79744.94419.0756.6062.5150.921
PIT7-60.5315.01048.92517.5825.2991.7960.576
WAS7-60.52525.31238.96313.0214.2921.3630.435
SD5-80.523-2.3930.7810.2290.0770.024
MIN7-60.4941.6068.2422.7690.8610.2390.070
DAL7-60.47214.72717.3164.8371.3730.3810.105
CLE5-80.470-0.9010.2570.0640.0190.005
DET4-90.460------
NO5-80.448-0.0080.0020.0010.0000.000
IND9-40.4282.51598.39829.3786.6221.6240.389
MIA5-80.416-0.2980.0760.0160.0040.001
CAR4-90.403------
STL6-6-10.4000.0101.7970.4780.1170.0250.006
BUF5-80.383-0.2550.0550.0100.0020.000
NYJ6-70.370-3.8860.8080.1480.0320.006
PHI4-90.304------
TEN4-90.303------
ARI4-90.261------
OAK3-100.249------
JAC2-110.239------
KC2-110.212------

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch a playoff berth: New England, Houston, Denver, Atlanta (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]

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