Superbowl XLVII Projection, Week 14, Sunday

San Francisco over Houston

Well here we are again. I've got all the eliminations consistent with the NFL, but somehow I show Baltimore having clinched a spot, while all the official channels say they have not. This situation's a little more obvious though. Pittsburgh and Cincinnati could tie in week 16 and both go 9-6-1, and Baltimore could finish 9-7, putting them 3rd in the division, and behind Indianapolis if they can win or tie at least 1 of their next 3.

San Francisco has cracked the 20% chance of being Champions, after Houston first did it in Week 7. For the last several weeks both teams have been hovering in the high teens.

Finally, if I learned anything from the Rams game yesterday, it's that we should always go for two. After all, Zuerlein's massive distance is sort of wasted on PATs anyway, and we've gone 2/2 in the last 2 weeks.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SF	9-3-1	0.772	85.680	99.585	89.056	57.129	36.004	21.071
NE	9-3	0.739	+	+	84.150	48.965	27.689	14.872
HOU	11-1	0.725	97.485	+	98.424	63.310	33.347	17.316
SEA	8-5	0.716	14.310	85.241	54.460	29.070	15.035	7.719
DEN	10-3	0.708	+	+	84.974	44.101	23.064	11.502
CHI	8-5	0.691	22.468	77.678	44.883	22.019	10.622	5.140
NYG	8-5	0.683	59.961	79.824	45.935	21.934	10.512	4.982
ATL	11-2	0.652	+	+	96.027	45.755	19.149	8.446
BAL	9-4	0.614	88.193	+	64.438	24.629	9.831	3.906
GB	9-4	0.588	75.926	90.781	48.298	17.356	6.635	2.494
TB	6-7	0.583	-	0.566	0.233	0.093	0.034	0.013
CIN	7-6	0.582	6.797	44.944	19.075	6.606	2.515	0.921
PIT	7-6	0.531	5.010	48.925	17.582	5.299	1.796	0.576
WAS	7-6	0.525	25.312	38.963	13.021	4.292	1.363	0.435
SD	5-8	0.523	-	2.393	0.781	0.229	0.077	0.024
MIN	7-6	0.494	1.606	8.242	2.769	0.861	0.239	0.070
DAL	7-6	0.472	14.727	17.316	4.837	1.373	0.381	0.105
CLE	5-8	0.470	-	0.901	0.257	0.064	0.019	0.005
DET	4-9	0.460	-	-	-	-	-	-
NO	5-8	0.448	-	0.008	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.000
IND	9-4	0.428	2.515	98.398	29.378	6.622	1.624	0.389
MIA	5-8	0.416	-	0.298	0.076	0.016	0.004	0.001
CAR	4-9	0.403	-	-	-	-	-	-
STL	6-6-1	0.400	0.010	1.797	0.478	0.117	0.025	0.006
BUF	5-8	0.383	-	0.255	0.055	0.010	0.002	0.000
NYJ	6-7	0.370	-	3.886	0.808	0.148	0.032	0.006
PHI	4-9	0.304	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	4-9	0.303	-	-	-	-	-	-
ARI	4-9	0.261	-	-	-	-	-	-
OAK	3-10	0.249	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	2-11	0.239	-	-	-	-	-	-
KC	2-11	0.212	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch a playoff berth: New England, Houston, Denver, Atlanta (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]