Superbowl XLVII Projection, Week 15, Final

San Francisco over Houston

Surprisingly enough, the Titans played to win last night, and took the Jets down with them. The Jets had a 6% chance of an AFC wildcard, which has now been distributed among Indianapolis, Miami, Pittsburgh, and Cincinnati, the remaining wildcard contenders.

As for the Rams, there's a fairly straightforward way for them to get a wildcard spot, and it only takes 10 games going the right way!

Week 16:
St. Louis d. Tampa Bay
New Orleans d. Dallas
Baltimore d. New York Giants
Houston d. Minnesota
Arizona d. Chicago

Week 17:
St. Louis d. Seattle
Washington d. Dallas
Detroit d. Chicago
Green Bay d. Minnesota
Philadelphia d. New York Giants

There might be other ways involving Washington losses too, but they appear to hold the tiebreaker in the NFC East, so the most straightforward way is to let them win (or lose, doesn't matter), and have Dallas and New York go 8-8, just worse than the 8-7-1 Rams.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SF	10-3-1	0.775	95.131	+	90.461	58.824	34.280	19.708
NE	10-4	0.767	+	+	79.573	45.078	27.989	15.279
SEA	9-5	0.765	4.869	95.420	68.710	38.162	21.612	12.133
DEN	11-3	0.735	+	+	93.557	49.400	28.383	14.294
ATL	12-2	0.715	+	+	99.392	53.318	25.414	12.656
HOU	12-2	0.706	+	+	98.613	63.457	29.431	13.792
CHI	8-6	0.679	-	43.650	22.931	10.423	4.471	2.040
NYG	8-6	0.630	16.272	52.915	25.120	9.669	3.743	1.515
CIN	8-6	0.622	17.925	68.975	32.437	12.930	5.109	1.936
GB	10-4	0.605	+	+	59.013	19.344	7.346	2.789
BAL	9-5	0.581	75.004	+	55.414	19.530	6.740	2.290
WAS	8-6	0.555	51.726	60.929	20.302	6.412	2.097	0.699
PIT	7-7	0.524	7.071	30.357	11.052	3.396	1.049	0.306
MIN	8-6	0.523	-	14.343	5.904	1.774	0.475	0.145
NO	6-8	0.517	-	0.023	0.008	0.002	0.001	0.000
TB	6-8	0.509	-	-	-	-	-	-
DAL	8-6	0.478	32.003	32.717	8.159	2.071	0.561	0.152
SD	5-9	0.472	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIA	6-8	0.464	-	0.793	0.233	0.061	0.016	0.004
CAR	5-9	0.451	-	-	-	-	-	-
CLE	5-9	0.434	-	-	-	-	-	-
DET	4-10	0.409	-	-	-	-	-	-
IND	9-5	0.405	-	99.875	29.121	6.147	1.283	0.262
STL	6-7-1	0.373	-	0.003	0.001	0.000	0.000	0.000
NYJ	6-8	0.357	-	-	-	-	-	-
BUF	5-9	0.331	-	-	-	-	-	-
ARI	5-9	0.316	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	5-9	0.300	-	-	-	-	-	-
PHI	4-10	0.268	-	-	-	-	-	-
OAK	4-10	0.254	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	2-12	0.201	-	-	-	-	-	-
KC	2-12	0.177	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch a playoff berth: New England, Houston, Denver, Atlanta (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]