2012-09-17

Superbowl XLVII Projection, Week 2, Sunday

Houston over San Francisco

With most of the week 2 games out of the way, I went ahead and ran another simulation. Houston is now better than a 10 to 1 shot to win it all. My Rams actually saw their chances at a Division championship reduced despite their narrow victory, because Seattle and San Francisco won big, and even Arizona stunned the New England by a slim margin. I wonder when the last time the NFC West went 4-0 in a week was, if it's ever happened in the 11 year history of the 8-division format.

TEAMRecordDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
HOU2-069.82180.17763.41534.63118.66810.251
SD2-057.89475.85158.57031.66116.9159.216
BAL1-141.67155.82138.95320.40310.6105.672
SEA1-118.37538.78526.29513.9347.4063.786
NE1-131.88048.56233.24417.1198.7634.621
SF2-035.61858.14342.69722.26511.6425.847
ATL1-041.08351.54036.19018.5319.4484.666
DEN1-031.79254.58637.06518.3729.0984.635
ARI2-032.91753.32737.76719.0969.6924.734
CHI1-125.06636.34623.80312.0076.0422.940
GB1-129.51339.61525.75812.9166.4633.130
PIT1-130.60344.52628.42913.7886.6713.339
WAS1-123.99935.61023.37411.6165.7522.765
NYJ1-124.71238.07823.86411.4425.4692.708
PHI2-040.78253.51237.72418.6639.1914.393
MIA1-124.23138.90124.21111.5575.5042.719
CAR1-123.96834.92222.34911.0585.4592.607
MIN1-123.16333.15021.29810.4365.1032.416
NYG1-118.88831.42720.2109.9024.8382.290
STL1-113.09027.40817.2848.4404.1361.953
TB1-126.26836.08822.82011.1395.4202.555
BUF1-119.17834.21421.0469.8994.6462.260
DET1-122.25831.60019.7629.5284.5862.136
CLE0-210.37618.45410.4324.7622.1791.033
NO0-28.68113.4547.6293.5751.6710.756
IND1-117.90632.46418.8478.3693.7231.714
DAL1-116.33125.07215.0396.8953.1501.398
CIN1-117.35029.33916.6617.2933.1921.451
JAC0-26.14614.5607.5733.2371.3930.620
KC0-25.93312.8436.7812.9061.2490.555
OAK0-24.38110.7155.4582.3000.9770.428
TEN0-26.12710.9115.4522.2620.9430.406

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]

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