2012-12-24

Superbowl XLVII Projection, Week 16, Final

Seattle over Denver

Most of the playoff picture settled after Sunday's games. A side effect of my system using points scored and points allowed is that Seattle has become the strongest team in the league. Houston's loss also dropped them out of the AFC lead, and Denver's big offense and what projects to be an easy game against KC next week has put them in the lead.

Unfortunately both Minnesota and Chicago won on Sunday, eliminating the Rams. With Washington winning and Dallas losing, we would have needed Chicago, Minnesota, and New York to lose, and Dallas to lose or tie Washington next week.

Dallas's odds of winning the division or making the playoffs are exactly the same, meaning they're not getting a wildcard slot, and they'll have to win to make it. Everyone else's situation is a little more fluid, needing a win and/or help.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SEA10-50.80711.224+78.55948.71930.64518.337
NE11-40.784++81.86746.45929.10116.097
DEN12-30.769++98.82356.70834.31018.288
ATL13-20.737+++52.80026.63513.366
SF10-4-10.72788.776+70.91637.07517.3518.484
CHI9-60.710-50.69223.64911.0125.0722.374
GB11-40.691++87.08038.00916.4257.333
HOU12-30.684++91.83951.26220.9258.954
CIN9-60.633-+43.14617.7086.6142.472
BAL10-50.618++59.98122.6177.9692.862
NYG8-70.596-6.2812.1720.7490.2590.091
WAS9-60.56859.41864.70716.5155.4831.8700.607
MIN9-60.560-37.73813.5934.2391.2360.393
DAL8-70.47340.58240.5827.5171.9140.5060.126
IND10-50.417-+24.3445.2461.0820.217

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch a playoff berth: New England, Houston, Denver, Atlanta (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: Atlanta (Week 16, Saturday)

First team eliminated: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Saturday]

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