Superbowl XLVII Projection, Week 16, Final

Seattle over Denver

Most of the playoff picture settled after Sunday's games. A side effect of my system using points scored and points allowed is that Seattle has become the strongest team in the league. Houston's loss also dropped them out of the AFC lead, and Denver's big offense and what projects to be an easy game against KC next week has put them in the lead.

Unfortunately both Minnesota and Chicago won on Sunday, eliminating the Rams. With Washington winning and Dallas losing, we would have needed Chicago, Minnesota, and New York to lose, and Dallas to lose or tie Washington next week.

Dallas's odds of winning the division or making the playoffs are exactly the same, meaning they're not getting a wildcard slot, and they'll have to win to make it. Everyone else's situation is a little more fluid, needing a win and/or help.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SEA	10-5	0.807	11.224	+	78.559	48.719	30.645	18.337
NE	11-4	0.784	+	+	81.867	46.459	29.101	16.097
DEN	12-3	0.769	+	+	98.823	56.708	34.310	18.288
ATL	13-2	0.737	+	+	+	52.800	26.635	13.366
SF	10-4-1	0.727	88.776	+	70.916	37.075	17.351	8.484
CHI	9-6	0.710	-	50.692	23.649	11.012	5.072	2.374
GB	11-4	0.691	+	+	87.080	38.009	16.425	7.333
HOU	12-3	0.684	+	+	91.839	51.262	20.925	8.954
CIN	9-6	0.633	-	+	43.146	17.708	6.614	2.472
BAL	10-5	0.618	+	+	59.981	22.617	7.969	2.862
NYG	8-7	0.596	-	6.281	2.172	0.749	0.259	0.091
WAS	9-6	0.568	59.418	64.707	16.515	5.483	1.870	0.607
MIN	9-6	0.560	-	37.738	13.593	4.239	1.236	0.393
DAL	8-7	0.473	40.582	40.582	7.517	1.914	0.506	0.126
IND	10-5	0.417	-	+	24.344	5.246	1.082	0.217

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch a playoff berth: New England, Houston, Denver, Atlanta (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: Atlanta (Week 16, Saturday)

First team eliminated: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Saturday]