Superbowl XLVII Projection, Week 16, Saturday

San Francisco over Houston

Atlanta clinched homefield advantage, as evidenced by the plus sign in the Wildcard column. That means that they make it to the second round in every simulation, which is true because they've got the bye. I've removed the eliminated teams from the chart for readability.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SF	10-3-1	0.775	95.130	+	90.437	58.976	33.364	19.181
NE	10-4	0.767	+	+	79.611	45.097	27.996	15.066
SEA	9-5	0.765	4.870	95.367	68.721	37.056	20.688	11.614
ATL	13-2	0.737	+	+	+	56.259	28.323	14.879
DEN	11-3	0.735	+	+	93.568	49.392	28.379	14.072
HOU	12-2	0.706	+	+	98.613	63.454	29.432	13.563
CHI	8-6	0.679	-	44.460	23.442	10.040	4.288	1.958
NYG	8-6	0.630	16.270	52.672	25.018	9.184	3.511	1.420
CIN	8-6	0.622	17.928	69.008	32.524	12.963	5.121	1.901
GB	10-4	0.605	+	+	58.170	18.792	6.912	2.624
BAL	9-5	0.581	75.003	+	55.341	19.502	6.726	2.238
WAS	8-6	0.555	51.725	60.643	20.222	6.090	1.956	0.653
PIT	7-7	0.524	7.068	30.353	11.048	3.395	1.049	0.299
MIN	8-6	0.523	-	14.086	5.818	1.626	0.434	0.132
NO	6-8	0.517	-	0.022	0.007	0.002	0.001	0.000
DAL	8-6	0.478	32.005	32.747	8.164	1.975	0.524	0.142
MIA	6-8	0.464	-	0.794	0.233	0.061	0.016	0.004
IND	9-5	0.405	-	99.845	29.062	6.134	1.281	0.255
STL	6-7-1	0.373	-	0.003	0.001	0.000	0.000	0.000

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch a playoff berth: New England, Houston, Denver, Atlanta (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: Atlanta (Week 16, Saturday)

First team eliminated: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]