2012-12-23

Superbowl XLVII Projection, Week 16, Saturday

San Francisco over Houston

Atlanta clinched homefield advantage, as evidenced by the plus sign in the Wildcard column. That means that they make it to the second round in every simulation, which is true because they've got the bye. I've removed the eliminated teams from the chart for readability.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SF10-3-10.77595.130+90.43758.97633.36419.181
NE10-40.767++79.61145.09727.99615.066
SEA9-50.7654.87095.36768.72137.05620.68811.614
ATL13-20.737+++56.25928.32314.879
DEN11-30.735++93.56849.39228.37914.072
HOU12-20.706++98.61363.45429.43213.563
CHI8-60.679-44.46023.44210.0404.2881.958
NYG8-60.63016.27052.67225.0189.1843.5111.420
CIN8-60.62217.92869.00832.52412.9635.1211.901
GB10-40.605++58.17018.7926.9122.624
BAL9-50.58175.003+55.34119.5026.7262.238
WAS8-60.55551.72560.64320.2226.0901.9560.653
PIT7-70.5247.06830.35311.0483.3951.0490.299
MIN8-60.523-14.0865.8181.6260.4340.132
NO6-80.517-0.0220.0070.0020.0010.000
DAL8-60.47832.00532.7478.1641.9750.5240.142
MIA6-80.464-0.7940.2330.0610.0160.004
IND9-50.405-99.84529.0626.1341.2810.255
STL6-7-10.373-0.0030.0010.0000.0000.000

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch a playoff berth: New England, Houston, Denver, Atlanta (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: Atlanta (Week 16, Saturday)

First team eliminated: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]

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