2012-11-12

Superbowl XLVII Projection, Week 10, Sunday

Chicago over Houston

After last night's rainy win at Chicago, Houston has improved their position to #2, but still would be projected to lose to Chicago.

In Rams news, nobody wanted to win that game, and nobody did. Luckily, I mostly accounted for ties when I wrote my software, or else today would have been spent patching even more than the output I had to fix.

Finally, at the bottom of the league, Jacksonville didn't win their division in any of my 250,000,000 simulations today. However, when I force all AFC South games in such a way to cause a 4-way 8-8 tie, they win the division every time. There may be some tiebreakers that are not yet finalized, as my forced-win simulations simulate a 2-0 game, throwing off the tiebreakers involving the number of points or touchdowns scored.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
CHI7-20.70167.96393.26878.50446.58127.02815.277
HOU8-10.69396.31099.96197.25661.12635.56519.463
SF6-2-10.68379.33691.88370.74939.45421.76811.849
NE6-30.65093.63796.03670.85037.64419.1409.571
DEN6-30.63992.54896.71771.14036.56818.0968.823
ATL8-10.63691.19497.51287.64645.31021.63310.651
BAL7-20.60473.35695.40371.19033.33015.1456.834
GB6-30.59925.16269.22441.35418.2268.1703.712
NYG6-40.59672.44477.77642.00318.3908.0983.655
SEA6-40.59419.71361.02532.85214.4096.3832.868
TB5-40.5898.23738.26419.5868.4173.6821.634
PIT5-30.55625.54370.85635.87514.1605.8852.375
SD4-50.5387.19434.05915.0605.5772.2550.871
MIN6-40.5356.58823.81610.7624.0741.5840.620
DET4-50.4880.2883.4491.3180.4350.1500.052
NO4-50.4880.5678.2123.1201.0310.3560.124
CIN4-50.4791.09614.2325.2181.6140.5730.191
MIA4-50.4705.24811.9814.6161.4450.4950.161
IND6-30.4673.67467.30425.1557.7152.6270.846
DAL4-50.46619.24922.0477.7852.4350.7780.255
WAS3-60.4615.9267.0432.4410.7530.2380.077
ARI4-50.4240.6002.5310.8070.2290.0670.020
CLE2-70.4100.0050.4600.1340.0330.0100.003
NYJ3-60.3940.8934.4191.3170.3190.0900.023
STL3-5-10.3930.3511.4500.4090.1040.0280.007
CAR2-70.3880.0030.0250.0070.0020.0000.000
BUF3-60.3810.2232.8050.7680.1760.0480.012
PHI3-60.3652.3822.4750.6580.1520.0360.009
OAK3-60.3500.2421.6200.4110.0860.0210.005
TEN4-60.3490.0174.0800.9930.2060.0510.011
KC1-70.3230.0160.0600.0140.0030.0010.000
JAC1-80.287-0.0080.0020.0000.0000.000

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 10, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]

No comments:

Post a Comment