Superbowl XLVII Projection, Week 10, Sunday

Chicago over Houston

After last night's rainy win at Chicago, Houston has improved their position to #2, but still would be projected to lose to Chicago.

In Rams news, nobody wanted to win that game, and nobody did. Luckily, I mostly accounted for ties when I wrote my software, or else today would have been spent patching even more than the output I had to fix.

Finally, at the bottom of the league, Jacksonville didn't win their division in any of my 250,000,000 simulations today. However, when I force all AFC South games in such a way to cause a 4-way 8-8 tie, they win the division every time. There may be some tiebreakers that are not yet finalized, as my forced-win simulations simulate a 2-0 game, throwing off the tiebreakers involving the number of points or touchdowns scored.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
CHI	7-2	0.701	67.963	93.268	78.504	46.581	27.028	15.277
HOU	8-1	0.693	96.310	99.961	97.256	61.126	35.565	19.463
SF	6-2-1	0.683	79.336	91.883	70.749	39.454	21.768	11.849
NE	6-3	0.650	93.637	96.036	70.850	37.644	19.140	9.571
DEN	6-3	0.639	92.548	96.717	71.140	36.568	18.096	8.823
ATL	8-1	0.636	91.194	97.512	87.646	45.310	21.633	10.651
BAL	7-2	0.604	73.356	95.403	71.190	33.330	15.145	6.834
GB	6-3	0.599	25.162	69.224	41.354	18.226	8.170	3.712
NYG	6-4	0.596	72.444	77.776	42.003	18.390	8.098	3.655
SEA	6-4	0.594	19.713	61.025	32.852	14.409	6.383	2.868
TB	5-4	0.589	8.237	38.264	19.586	8.417	3.682	1.634
PIT	5-3	0.556	25.543	70.856	35.875	14.160	5.885	2.375
SD	4-5	0.538	7.194	34.059	15.060	5.577	2.255	0.871
MIN	6-4	0.535	6.588	23.816	10.762	4.074	1.584	0.620
DET	4-5	0.488	0.288	3.449	1.318	0.435	0.150	0.052
NO	4-5	0.488	0.567	8.212	3.120	1.031	0.356	0.124
CIN	4-5	0.479	1.096	14.232	5.218	1.614	0.573	0.191
MIA	4-5	0.470	5.248	11.981	4.616	1.445	0.495	0.161
IND	6-3	0.467	3.674	67.304	25.155	7.715	2.627	0.846
DAL	4-5	0.466	19.249	22.047	7.785	2.435	0.778	0.255
WAS	3-6	0.461	5.926	7.043	2.441	0.753	0.238	0.077
ARI	4-5	0.424	0.600	2.531	0.807	0.229	0.067	0.020
CLE	2-7	0.410	0.005	0.460	0.134	0.033	0.010	0.003
NYJ	3-6	0.394	0.893	4.419	1.317	0.319	0.090	0.023
STL	3-5-1	0.393	0.351	1.450	0.409	0.104	0.028	0.007
CAR	2-7	0.388	0.003	0.025	0.007	0.002	0.000	0.000
BUF	3-6	0.381	0.223	2.805	0.768	0.176	0.048	0.012
PHI	3-6	0.365	2.382	2.475	0.658	0.152	0.036	0.009
OAK	3-6	0.350	0.242	1.620	0.411	0.086	0.021	0.005
TEN	4-6	0.349	0.017	4.080	0.993	0.206	0.051	0.011
KC	1-7	0.323	0.016	0.060	0.014	0.003	0.001	0.000
JAC	1-8	0.287	-	0.008	0.002	0.000	0.000	0.000

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)

First to 99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 10, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]