Superbowl XLVII Projection, Week 6, Sunday

Atlanta over Houston

While the two participants stayed the same, their strengths swapped after Houston lost and Atlanta won on Sunday. We've now got the 4th and 5th strongest teams in the league slated to make the Superbowl, probabilistically. On the other end, Kansas City is now the least likely champion, with chances about 1 in 4000.

I got to watch the Rams game yesterday, and I thought I just might get to witness NFL history when Fisher ordered Greg Zuerlein to try a 66-yard Field Goal to tie the game in the closing seconds. He missed wide left, like he had with 2 other kicks that day, though he had enough distance, and the Rams fell back to .500. the good news is, we're now just 1 game behind the 3-way tie in the NFC West.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
CHI	4-1	0.626	59.215	79.869	62.233	34.689	18.961	10.702
SF	4-2	0.616	48.447	66.518	46.681	25.000	13.318	7.381
NYG	4-2	0.610	60.741	73.137	52.250	27.580	14.466	7.924
ATL	6-0	0.604	92.612	96.075	83.894	45.029	23.378	12.664
HOU	5-1	0.603	93.713	97.714	88.203	50.893	28.268	14.506
NE	3-3	0.583	47.208	69.499	47.560	24.812	13.045	6.438
BAL	5-1	0.582	81.540	93.096	78.261	43.079	22.478	11.055
MIN	4-2	0.560	25.280	49.772	30.911	14.574	6.866	3.416
SEA	4-2	0.546	21.894	47.261	28.144	12.849	5.866	2.835
SD	3-2	0.545	59.488	74.795	50.168	24.343	11.706	5.320
TB	2-3	0.540	6.152	19.062	9.939	4.435	2.003	0.955
DEN	2-3	0.539	36.846	52.547	31.227	14.743	7.021	3.149
GB	3-3	0.537	12.597	30.148	16.340	7.269	3.258	1.543
ARI	4-2	0.535	20.944	42.571	24.545	10.917	4.860	2.294
WAS	3-3	0.508	19.663	31.396	15.998	6.641	2.780	1.238
MIA	3-3	0.507	22.588	46.908	25.810	11.288	5.018	2.096
PIT	2-3	0.502	10.101	28.491	15.090	6.552	2.887	1.191
STL	3-3	0.497	8.716	20.147	9.810	3.964	1.621	0.704
NYJ	3-3	0.484	22.902	42.746	22.320	9.249	3.895	1.538
DET	2-3	0.480	2.908	9.620	4.472	1.745	0.690	0.289
NO	1-4	0.479	0.878	3.154	1.408	0.548	0.217	0.091
CIN	3-3	0.475	7.546	30.083	14.820	6.005	2.486	0.961
PHI	3-3	0.447	11.400	16.810	7.332	2.616	0.944	0.365
DAL	2-3	0.447	8.196	12.815	5.413	1.928	0.695	0.269
CLE	1-5	0.446	0.813	4.905	2.098	0.780	0.303	0.110
CAR	1-4	0.433	0.358	1.645	0.630	0.216	0.076	0.028
IND	2-3	0.421	4.585	18.121	7.886	2.792	1.020	0.344
BUF	3-3	0.412	7.303	21.683	9.441	3.256	1.154	0.379
OAK	1-4	0.396	2.309	5.441	2.147	0.703	0.240	0.076
JAC	1-4	0.373	0.740	5.064	1.828	0.560	0.180	0.053
KC	1-5	0.370	1.356	2.435	0.875	0.264	0.084	0.025
TEN	2-4	0.368	0.962	6.471	2.265	0.681	0.216	0.062

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]