2012-12-11

Superbowl XLVII Projection, Week 14, Final

New England over San Francisco

Houston has been favored to win the AFC since they played their game on Sunday of Week 2, but New England dominated them last night and took over the AFC favorite spot at the same time. Part of that is certainly due to the tiebreaker they now hold over Houston, which could potentially force the Texans to play in the first round while the Patriots sit in case of a tie for the 2nd overall seed.

Right now, the unlikeliest scenario on the board is the Rams winning the NFC West. That would take 3 San Francisco losses and 3 Rams wins, which would then put the Seahawks at 9-6, so they would also need to lose or tie Buffalo this week.

I hate ties; they complicate things so much. Just like yesterday, Baltimore's still not officially in the playoffs, but because I don't simulate ties, I show them as in. The corollary is that if Pittsburgh and Cincinnati don't tie in Week 16, Baltimore is in, if they're not in before then.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE10-30.773++92.02160.10138.20122.236
SF9-3-10.77284.48499.53388.35256.71535.73820.632
SEA8-50.71615.50585.19254.62829.24515.1357.648
DEN10-30.708++79.27839.29020.79610.381
CHI8-50.69122.42777.34744.73621.98210.6165.060
HOU11-20.68594.633+95.98956.30925.25511.929
NYG8-50.68359.96379.75046.06622.02310.5674.931
ATL11-20.652++96.11445.76119.1948.330
BAL9-40.61488.200+63.30924.3459.5953.813
GB9-40.58875.75290.49248.52717.4476.6802.467
TB6-70.584-0.5620.2310.0930.0340.013
CIN7-60.5826.79544.88518.8836.7462.5090.920
PIT7-60.5315.00648.96117.2815.4081.7900.576
WAS7-60.52525.31538.88112.9854.2921.3650.429
SD5-80.523-2.3870.7540.2320.0770.024
MIN7-60.4941.8219.0603.0380.9450.2630.075
DAL7-60.47214.72217.3784.8451.3800.3840.104
CLE5-80.470-0.9010.2570.0680.0190.005
DET4-90.460------
NO5-80.448-0.0080.0020.0010.0000.000
IND9-40.4285.36798.53531.3347.3271.7210.412
MIA5-80.416-0.2560.0580.0140.0030.001
CAR4-90.403------
STL6-6-10.4000.0111.7970.4760.1170.0250.006
BUF5-80.383-0.2560.0540.0110.0020.000
NYJ6-70.369-3.8200.7810.1510.0310.006
PHI4-90.304------
TEN4-90.303------
ARI4-90.261------
OAK3-100.248------
JAC2-110.239------
KC2-110.212------

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch a playoff berth: New England, Houston, Denver, Atlanta (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]

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