Superbowl XLVII Projection, Week 14, Final

New England over San Francisco

Houston has been favored to win the AFC since they played their game on Sunday of Week 2, but New England dominated them last night and took over the AFC favorite spot at the same time. Part of that is certainly due to the tiebreaker they now hold over Houston, which could potentially force the Texans to play in the first round while the Patriots sit in case of a tie for the 2nd overall seed.

Right now, the unlikeliest scenario on the board is the Rams winning the NFC West. That would take 3 San Francisco losses and 3 Rams wins, which would then put the Seahawks at 9-6, so they would also need to lose or tie Buffalo this week.

I hate ties; they complicate things so much. Just like yesterday, Baltimore's still not officially in the playoffs, but because I don't simulate ties, I show them as in. The corollary is that if Pittsburgh and Cincinnati don't tie in Week 16, Baltimore is in, if they're not in before then.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	10-3	0.773	+	+	92.021	60.101	38.201	22.236
SF	9-3-1	0.772	84.484	99.533	88.352	56.715	35.738	20.632
SEA	8-5	0.716	15.505	85.192	54.628	29.245	15.135	7.648
DEN	10-3	0.708	+	+	79.278	39.290	20.796	10.381
CHI	8-5	0.691	22.427	77.347	44.736	21.982	10.616	5.060
HOU	11-2	0.685	94.633	+	95.989	56.309	25.255	11.929
NYG	8-5	0.683	59.963	79.750	46.066	22.023	10.567	4.931
ATL	11-2	0.652	+	+	96.114	45.761	19.194	8.330
BAL	9-4	0.614	88.200	+	63.309	24.345	9.595	3.813
GB	9-4	0.588	75.752	90.492	48.527	17.447	6.680	2.467
TB	6-7	0.584	-	0.562	0.231	0.093	0.034	0.013
CIN	7-6	0.582	6.795	44.885	18.883	6.746	2.509	0.920
PIT	7-6	0.531	5.006	48.961	17.281	5.408	1.790	0.576
WAS	7-6	0.525	25.315	38.881	12.985	4.292	1.365	0.429
SD	5-8	0.523	-	2.387	0.754	0.232	0.077	0.024
MIN	7-6	0.494	1.821	9.060	3.038	0.945	0.263	0.075
DAL	7-6	0.472	14.722	17.378	4.845	1.380	0.384	0.104
CLE	5-8	0.470	-	0.901	0.257	0.068	0.019	0.005
DET	4-9	0.460	-	-	-	-	-	-
NO	5-8	0.448	-	0.008	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.000
IND	9-4	0.428	5.367	98.535	31.334	7.327	1.721	0.412
MIA	5-8	0.416	-	0.256	0.058	0.014	0.003	0.001
CAR	4-9	0.403	-	-	-	-	-	-
STL	6-6-1	0.400	0.011	1.797	0.476	0.117	0.025	0.006
BUF	5-8	0.383	-	0.256	0.054	0.011	0.002	0.000
NYJ	6-7	0.369	-	3.820	0.781	0.151	0.031	0.006
PHI	4-9	0.304	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	4-9	0.303	-	-	-	-	-	-
ARI	4-9	0.261	-	-	-	-	-	-
OAK	3-10	0.248	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	2-11	0.239	-	-	-	-	-	-
KC	2-11	0.212	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch a playoff berth: New England, Houston, Denver, Atlanta (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]