Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 16, Sunday

Arizona over New England

Things didn't quite get buttoned up completely, but a lot of the playoff spots are now accounted for. Atlanta beat undefeated Carolina to stay alive, but then Minnesota won to eliminate them and clinch a playoff spot. They'll play Green Bay for the NFC North next week, and if they lose, there's a good chance they'll head right back to Green Bay to start the playoffs. Kansas City clinched their spot, and New York stayed alive, keeping Pittsburgh from clinching a spot. Arizona destroyed Green Bay, and clinched a first round bye. They could actually take the #1 seed from Carolina next week, if both teams end up 14-2. We won't get a 7-9 playoff team, as Jacksonville was eliminated by their loss and Houston's win.

Houston still isn't quite the AFC South champion, though. However, it will take 8 games going the wrong way for them not to win tiebreaker #5, Strength of Victory. If two other games go the wrong way, they'll lose on tiebreaker #6, Strength of Schedule. If exactly one of those two games goes wrong, their tie with Indianapolis will fall to the 7th, 8th, or 9th tiebreaker. 7 and 8 are combined ranking in points scored and allowed in the the conference and full league, respectively. It's possible they will tie in those as well, and the tie will be broken by net points in their 12 common games, which Indianapolis currently leads by about 30. I'd like to see happen because I enjoy chaos, and I doubt we've ever actually gotten that far into the tiebreakers. To start the chaos in motion, we'll need Denver to beat Cincinnati tonight.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
ARI	13-2	0.820	+	+	+	74.48	45.97	28.59
CAR	14-1	0.770	+	+	+	63.97	31.18	17.12
NE	12-3	0.768	+	+	+	64.48	36.50	17.96
CIN	11-3	0.754	+	+	89.76	54.79	29.04	13.75
KC	10-5	0.724	61.83	+	62.59	29.60	14.94	6.52
SEA	9-6	0.715	-	+	62.75	25.89	11.21	5.35
PIT	9-6	0.669	-	41.22	19.41	7.49	3.39	1.27
NYJ	10-5	0.660	-	73.64	42.81	16.42	6.97	2.55
MIN	10-5	0.622	51.30	+	48.83	14.19	5.01	1.89
DEN	10-4	0.611	38.17	85.14	51.94	18.66	6.83	2.19
GB	10-5	0.609	48.70	+	51.91	14.20	4.87	1.78
BUF	7-8	0.530	-	-	-	-	-	-
HOU	8-7	0.505	99.97	99.97	33.48	8.55	2.34	0.55
WAS	8-7	0.496	+	+	36.50	7.26	1.76	0.47
ATL	8-7	0.493	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYG	6-9	0.470	-	-	-	-	-	-
OAK	7-8	0.434	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	5-10	0.415	-	-	-	-	-	-
DET	6-9	0.410	-	-	-	-	-	-
TB	6-9	0.408	-	-	-	-	-	-
PHI	6-9	0.392	-	-	-	-	-	-
BAL	5-10	0.388	-	-	-	-	-	-
STL	7-8	0.387	-	-	-	-	-	-
NO	6-9	0.384	-	-	-	-	-	-
CHI	6-9	0.384	-	-	-	-	-	-
SD	4-11	0.356	-	-	-	-	-	-
IND	7-8	0.340	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
MIA	5-10	0.321	-	-	-	-	-	-
DAL	4-11	0.303	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	3-12	0.271	-	-	-	-	-	-
CLE	3-12	0.240	-	-	-	-	-	-
SF	4-11	0.191	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 16, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 9, Thursday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Carolina (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 11, Final)

First to 99.9999% chance of Playoffs: Carolina (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Carolina (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Carolina (Week 14, Sunday)

First team eliminated from winning a division: Miami (Week 11, Final)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cleveland (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Saturday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Thursday]
[Week 16, Saturday]