Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 15, Final

Arizona over New England

With a Monday night game between two eliminated teams, Detroit and New Orleans, no one moved very much. I think the biggest odds shift was for Houston, up by 0.13%, which is because the strengths all exaggerated just slightly due to the amount of scoring in the Monday night game, bringing up the average points per game for the whole league. Thus, Indianapolis and Jacksonville were pushed down a little more than Houston was, and they benefited.

As for me personally, I've made it to the championship in one of my fantasy football leagues, and I exited in the first playoff round in the other. Going into last night's game, I actually needed Tim Hightower to outperform Theo Riddick by a few points, which he just barely did until the last series when he caught an 18-yard pass for a few points of cushion for me. Those are always nice to have in case there are stat corrections later.

Looking ahead to Thursday, we'll have two more eliminated teams playing, San Diego at Oakland, a game I am selfishly hoping features the franchises that will be in Los Angeles in 2016, to keep the Rams here. As a result, the numbers shouldn't change much yet again next time.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
ARI	12-2	0.779	+	+	97.52	64.20	35.63	19.99
NE	12-2	0.770	+	+	+	65.03	37.18	19.66
CAR	14-0	0.770	+	+	+	64.22	34.51	18.90
CIN	11-3	0.754	96.24	+	90.03	55.69	29.39	14.89
SEA	9-5	0.722	-	+	72.60	31.71	15.34	7.45
KC	9-5	0.711	55.78	94.24	59.00	26.87	13.04	5.91
PIT	9-5	0.671	3.76	91.81	57.30	22.67	9.99	4.08
GB	10-4	0.668	68.25	+	66.54	24.64	10.19	4.31
NYJ	9-5	0.648	-	32.36	16.10	5.83	2.46	0.94
DEN	10-4	0.611	44.22	81.60	50.74	18.41	6.71	2.34
MIN	9-5	0.555	31.75	99.64	36.57	9.81	3.03	0.95
NYG	6-8	0.527	4.61	4.61	1.45	0.36	0.10	0.03
BUF	6-8	0.510	-	-	-	-	-	-
ATL	7-7	0.479	-	0.36	0.19	0.04	0.01	0.00
WAS	7-7	0.468	72.75	72.75	19.82	4.09	1.00	0.24
HOU	7-7	0.441	85.29	85.29	23.58	4.95	1.13	0.24
JAC	5-9	0.433	5.11	5.11	1.38	0.28	0.06	0.01
OAK	6-8	0.429	-	-	-	-	-	-
TB	6-8	0.418	-	-	-	-	-	-
PHI	6-8	0.416	22.64	22.64	5.31	0.92	0.19	0.04
BAL	4-10	0.384	-	-	-	-	-	-
DET	5-9	0.382	-	-	-	-	-	-
CHI	5-9	0.374	-	-	-	-	-	-
STL	6-8	0.373	-	-	-	-	-	-
NO	5-9	0.366	-	-	-	-	-	-
SD	4-10	0.362	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIA	5-9	0.337	-	-	-	-	-	-
IND	6-8	0.334	9.60	9.60	1.87	0.27	0.04	0.01
DAL	4-10	0.329	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	3-11	0.322	-	-	-	-	-	-
CLE	3-11	0.254	-	-	-	-	-	-
SF	4-10	0.215	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 9, Thursday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Carolina (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 11, Final)

First to 99.9999% chance of Playoffs: Carolina (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Carolina (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Carolina (Week 14, Sunday)

First team eliminated from winning a division: Miami (Week 11, Final)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cleveland (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Saturday]
[Week 15, Sunday]