Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 16, Saturday

Arizona over New England

Washington beat Philadelphia to win the NFC East. New York can still tie them at 8-8, but Washington also clinched the Conference Record tiebreaker against New York last night.

The entire playoff field can be set after this week. In the NFC, it'll only take an Atlanta loss to put in Minnesota as the 6th team. If the New York Jets lose, Pittsburgh, Kansas City, and Denver can all put themselves into the playoffs with a win. Houston can do it with a win and some help from other teams to clinch strength of victory, or simply an Indianapolis loss.

I tried to construct a scenario that sets all the seeding in place, but even with ties the best I could get was 9 or 10 teams frozen in place. Part of the reason for that is that Denver and Cincinnati play each other Monday night, and they cannot both clinch their divisions, unless Kansas City and/or Pittsburgh also lose, which leaves the wildcard spots unclinched. So at the very least teams will be playing for position next week, which could be the difference between a home or road game in the first round, or facing the best teams in the conference or the second best in the second round.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
ARI	12-2	0.779	+	+	97.52	64.16	35.65	20.00
NE	12-2	0.770	+	+	+	65.02	37.18	19.68
CAR	14-0	0.770	+	+	+	64.18	34.54	18.91
CIN	11-3	0.754	96.24	+	89.97	55.68	29.38	14.90
SEA	9-5	0.722	-	+	70.60	30.84	14.92	7.25
KC	9-5	0.711	55.36	94.16	58.96	26.86	13.03	5.92
PIT	9-5	0.671	3.76	91.79	57.26	22.65	9.98	4.08
GB	10-4	0.668	68.26	+	65.77	24.35	10.09	4.27
NYJ	9-5	0.648	-	32.18	16.02	5.80	2.45	0.94
DEN	10-4	0.611	44.64	81.88	50.95	18.49	6.74	2.35
MIN	9-5	0.555	31.74	99.64	36.40	9.77	3.02	0.95
NYG	6-8	0.527	-	-	-	-	-	-
BUF	6-8	0.510	-	-	-	-	-	-
WAS	8-7	0.496	+	+	29.54	6.67	1.76	0.47
ATL	7-7	0.479	-	0.36	0.17	0.04	0.01	0.00
HOU	7-7	0.441	85.29	85.29	23.58	4.95	1.13	0.24
OAK	7-8	0.434	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	5-9	0.433	5.11	5.11	1.38	0.28	0.06	0.01
TB	6-8	0.418	-	-	-	-	-	-
PHI	6-9	0.392	-	-	-	-	-	-
BAL	4-10	0.384	-	-	-	-	-	-
DET	5-9	0.382	-	-	-	-	-	-
CHI	5-9	0.374	-	-	-	-	-	-
STL	6-8	0.373	-	-	-	-	-	-
NO	5-9	0.366	-	-	-	-	-	-
SD	4-11	0.355	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIA	5-9	0.337	-	-	-	-	-	-
IND	6-8	0.334	9.60	9.60	1.87	0.27	0.04	0.01
DAL	4-10	0.329	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	3-11	0.322	-	-	-	-	-	-
CLE	3-11	0.254	-	-	-	-	-	-
SF	4-10	0.215	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 9, Thursday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Carolina (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 11, Final)

First to 99.9999% chance of Playoffs: Carolina (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Carolina (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Carolina (Week 14, Sunday)

First team eliminated from winning a division: Miami (Week 11, Final)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cleveland (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Saturday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Thursday]