2018 World Series Projection, October 2

Houston over Los Angeles

Wildcard Round
OAK 0-0 NYY
COL 0-0 CHC

Team	Strength	LDS	LCS	WS	Win
HOU	0.6792	100.00	64.35	40.76	28.54
BOS	0.6382	100.00	57.63	26.62	16.25
LAD	0.6265	100.00	61.40	39.78	18.24
NYY	0.6108	52.49	23.38	9.36	5.14
CLE	0.6074	100.00	35.65	16.61	9.00
OAK	0.5869	47.51	19.00	6.65	3.30
CHI	0.5768	55.57	29.28	12.87	4.52
ATL	0.5672	100.00	38.60	19.98	6.63
MIL	0.5627	100.00	51.94	21.26	6.87
COL	0.5215	44.43	18.78	6.11	1.51

Every year it seems I encounter some new scenario I'd like my software to handle automatically. This year I did not see the 2 division ties with all 4 teams involved guaranteed a playoffs spot" scenario coming, so didn't have time to try to wedge that in. But I keep a list of these scenarios so that one day maybe I can handle them all easily. For now, you get your first projection after both of those games 163 have been played.

Houston is the strongest team in the AL by virtue of their stingy defense/pitching. They allowed 534 runs, while the next best team allowed 610. That gave them a ridiculous run differential of +263, with Boston coming in second at +229. In the NL, the #2 seed is also the favorite, with LA projected as 39% likely to make the World Series.