2018-10-03

2018 World Series Projection, October 3

Houston over Los Angeles

Wildcard Round
OAK 0-0 NYY
COL 1-0 CHC

TeamStrengthLDSLCSWSWin
HOU0.6792100.0064.3540.7628.79
BOS0.6382100.0057.6326.6216.45
LAD0.6265100.0061.4041.4819.01
NYY0.610852.4923.389.365.22
CLE0.6074100.0035.6516.619.13
OAK0.586947.5119.006.653.35
ATL0.5672100.0038.6021.157.01
MIL0.5627100.0057.7423.637.63
COL0.5215100.0042.2613.743.41

It took 13 innings, but Colorado advanced out of the wildcard game. I give them a 42% chance of beating Milwaukee in the NLDS, but as I always want to point out, that doesn't take into account the depletion of Colorado's bullpen and using a starter while Milwaukee had a day off. At least both teams had to play in a division-settling game 163, so Milwaukee's starters are not completely rested.

Tonight, rumor has it Oakland is going with a bullpen game. I really hope MLB doesn't panic and mess with the roster rules to prevent this in the future. I say they should let teams try unconventional strategies within the rules.

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