2022-01-09

Super Bowl LVI Projection, Week 18, Saturday

Buffalo over Dallas

I don't quite understand why the NFL decided to have 2 Saturday games after several years of piling all the final week's games onto the final Sunday (previously Week 17). Of course, as Tony Kornheiser likes to quote Don Ohlmeyer, "The answer to all of your questions is money". There wasn't a whole lot at stake in the 2 games played. Kansas City beat Denver, to clinch at least the #2 seed and keep themselves alive for the #1 seed. And Dallas beat Philadelphia, with both teams already in the playoffs. It seems Dallas is still most likely to be the #4 seed, and they couldn't fall below that as a division winner, although with a very high team strength, they are now favored to make the Superbowl again.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
BUF10-60.79594.4++59.138.525.216.0
NE10-60.7925.6++56.737.324.015.1
DAL12-50.764++++63.338.824.513.4
GB13-30.655++++++51.722.89.5
TB12-40.719++++62.032.718.18.9
KC12-50.696++++66.130.714.87.5
TEN11-50.619++++93.739.914.56.2
LAR12-40.65971.9++52.623.311.24.7
IND9-70.675-93.043.822.09.64.6
ARI11-50.66528.1++45.021.110.64.5
CIN10-60.652++++50.121.19.14.2
PHI9-80.605-++38.016.46.72.5
SF9-70.610-57.322.99.84.11.5
LAC9-70.529-65.321.78.52.30.8
NO8-80.541-42.716.26.22.00.6
LV9-70.374-37.67.81.60.30.1
BAL8-80.496-1.30.40.10.00.0
PIT8-7-10.387-2.80.60.20.00.0
SEA6-100.543------
DEN7-100.530------
MIN7-90.474------
CLE7-90.444------
MIA8-80.413------
CAR5-110.341------
CHI6-100.334------
WAS6-100.296------
ATL7-90.257------
DET2-13-10.239------
NYG4-120.223------
NYJ4-120.217------
HOU4-120.198------
JAC2-140.139------

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a Division: Green Bay (Week 15, Sunday)
First to clinch a Bye: Green Bay (Week 17, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: Detroit (Week 11, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from the playoffs: Jacksonville, Houston (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 2, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Denver
[Week 3, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Thursday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 4, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 7, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 8, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 10, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Final] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Thursday] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Saturday] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Monday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Saturday] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Sunday] Buffalo over Dallas
[Week 16, Final] Buffalo over Dallas
[Week 17, Sunday] Buffalo over Green Bay
[Week 17, Final] Buffalo over Green Bay

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