With a win on Sunday, New England took back the AFC lead from Buffalo. They're up by 1 win in the standings, but Buffalo is actually still just about 51% likely to win the division. The difference comes in New England's higher chance at a Wildcard, and their higher strength. Also, while Arizona shows a 100.0% chance of making the playoffs, that's actually just rounded up from 99.97, so they haven't quite clinched yet.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 8-4 | 0.745 | 48.9 | 97.7 | 77.0 | 50.1 | 32.5 | 20.7 |
| ARI | 9-2 | 0.683 | 96.5 | 100.0 | 82.7 | 50.8 | 30.1 | 15.4 |
| BUF | 7-4 | 0.728 | 51.0 | 91.0 | 64.1 | 39.5 | 24.0 | 14.8 |
| TB | 8-3 | 0.643 | 95.7 | 99.1 | 66.0 | 36.1 | 18.9 | 8.9 |
| CIN | 7-4 | 0.642 | 46.6 | 83.3 | 53.2 | 28.1 | 13.1 | 6.8 |
| DAL | 7-4 | 0.622 | 90.7 | 96.0 | 57.2 | 29.1 | 14.6 | 6.5 |
| GB | 9-3 | 0.581 | 96.9 | 99.9 | 67.8 | 32.7 | 14.5 | 5.9 |
| BAL | 8-3 | 0.544 | 49.6 | 91.8 | 51.6 | 21.0 | 7.7 | 3.2 |
| LAR | 7-4 | 0.562 | 3.1 | 85.5 | 38.5 | 16.7 | 7.4 | 2.9 |
| TEN | 8-4 | 0.525 | 96.9 | 98.1 | 50.7 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 2.8 |
| SF | 6-5 | 0.558 | 0.4 | 75.7 | 33.0 | 14.1 | 6.3 | 2.4 |
| KC | 7-4 | 0.556 | 46.8 | 67.3 | 31.0 | 12.9 | 5.0 | 2.2 |
| IND | 6-6 | 0.595 | 3.1 | 43.4 | 21.7 | 9.8 | 4.2 | 2.0 |
| DEN | 6-5 | 0.572 | 28.4 | 46.8 | 21.9 | 9.4 | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| MIN | 5-6 | 0.509 | 3.0 | 49.4 | 19.1 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| PHI | 5-7 | 0.556 | 5.3 | 30.6 | 13.4 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| NO | 5-6 | 0.515 | 3.4 | 34.6 | 13.6 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| LAC | 6-5 | 0.466 | 16.8 | 34.9 | 12.9 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| LV | 6-5 | 0.438 | 8.0 | 21.6 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| CLE | 6-6 | 0.474 | 2.7 | 12.8 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| PIT | 5-5-1 | 0.417 | 1.1 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| WAS | 4-6 | 0.402 | 3.1 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| CAR | 5-7 | 0.463 | 0.6 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| SEA | 3-7 | 0.467 | 0.0 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| NYG | 4-7 | 0.395 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| MIA | 5-7 | 0.409 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| ATL | 5-6 | 0.320 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| CHI | 4-7 | 0.344 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| NYJ | 3-8 | 0.289 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| HOU | 2-9 | 0.274 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| JAC | 2-9 | 0.297 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| DET | 0-10-1 | 0.292 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)
First team eliminated from a division: Detroit (Week 11, Sunday)
[Week 1] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 2, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Denver
[Week 3, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Thursday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 4, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 7, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 8, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 10, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
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