Super Bowl LVI Projection, Week 14, Final

New England over Tampa Bay

With a loss on Monday night, Arizona and Tampa Bay are tied at 10-3, and have nearly identical chances of getting to the Super Bowl. I only show 1 decimal place here, but if I displayed 2 we'd see Arizona at 22.82% and Tampa Bay at 22.85%.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	9-4	0.762	84.2	99.7	86.3	56.9	37.9	24.2
ARI	10-3	0.691	90.0	100.0	69.7	40.1	22.8	11.5
TB	10-3	0.672	99.9	100.0	75.8	42.3	22.8	11.0
BUF	7-6	0.729	15.7	71.3	45.1	25.8	15.2	9.0
DAL	9-4	0.652	98.4	99.9	60.3	31.2	16.0	7.4
KC	9-4	0.647	68.0	94.4	57.4	29.7	13.4	6.7
GB	10-3	0.605	99.8	100.0	71.3	34.3	15.3	6.3
LAR	9-4	0.623	9.9	97.7	47.1	22.7	11.1	4.8
IND	7-6	0.647	1.6	64.1	35.6	17.1	8.0	4.1
TEN	9-4	0.563	98.4	99.5	57.5	24.7	8.8	3.7
CIN	7-6	0.606	33.5	47.2	23.1	10.3	4.3	2.0
SF	7-6	0.551	0.1	73.7	28.9	11.6	4.7	1.7
LAC	8-5	0.525	25.8	75.7	33.1	12.2	4.1	1.5
BAL	8-5	0.539	42.7	67.1	28.6	10.9	3.8	1.5
DEN	7-6	0.605	6.2	36.0	17.9	7.7	3.2	1.5
PHI	6-7	0.583	0.8	41.4	17.5	7.6	3.4	1.3
NO	6-7	0.537	0.1	29.1	11.0	4.3	1.7	0.6
MIN	6-7	0.519	0.2	33.8	12.3	4.5	1.7	0.6
CLE	7-6	0.478	20.0	31.7	11.4	3.7	1.1	0.4
WAS	6-7	0.390	0.8	16.7	4.2	1.1	0.3	0.1
SEA	5-8	0.521	-	2.4	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0
PIT	6-6-1	0.405	3.8	7.9	2.3	0.6	0.1	0.0
MIA	6-7	0.429	0.0	2.3	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0
LV	6-7	0.368	0.0	3.2	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0
ATL	6-7	0.309	-	4.4	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0
CAR	5-8	0.447	-	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
NYG	4-9	0.343	-	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
CHI	4-9	0.310	-	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
DET	1-11-1	0.254	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	3-10	0.237	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	2-11	0.216	-	-	-	-	-	-
HOU	2-11	0.201	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: Detroit (Week 11, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from the playoffs: Jacksonville, Houston (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 2, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Denver
[Week 3, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Thursday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 4, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 7, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 8, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 10, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over Arizona