Arizona won again, and skipped right past 99.99% likely to make the playoffs, and are now above 99.999%. On the other end of things, Detroit still isn't mathematically eliminated, but at 2-10, both Jacksonville and Houston are now never making the playoffs in any of my simulations either. As far as I can tell, they actually are eliminated
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 8-4 | 0.745 | 48.0 | 97.0 | 77.2 | 50.2 | 32.5 | 20.1 |
| ARI | 10-2 | 0.699 | 96.2 | 100.0 | 83.3 | 51.3 | 30.3 | 16.0 |
| BUF | 7-4 | 0.728 | 51.9 | 90.6 | 65.7 | 40.6 | 24.7 | 14.7 |
| TB | 9-3 | 0.663 | 99.1 | 99.9 | 68.8 | 38.2 | 20.1 | 9.9 |
| DAL | 8-4 | 0.640 | 92.8 | 99.3 | 59.4 | 30.3 | 15.2 | 7.1 |
| GB | 9-3 | 0.581 | 99.4 | 100.0 | 64.8 | 29.7 | 12.5 | 5.1 |
| LAR | 8-4 | 0.612 | 3.8 | 94.3 | 46.2 | 21.7 | 10.4 | 4.5 |
| IND | 7-6 | 0.647 | 4.3 | 57.3 | 32.7 | 16.5 | 8.0 | 4.1 |
| KC | 8-4 | 0.582 | 60.8 | 83.9 | 44.1 | 19.8 | 8.1 | 3.5 |
| CIN | 7-5 | 0.610 | 39.7 | 63.3 | 34.1 | 16.5 | 7.2 | 3.3 |
| TEN | 8-4 | 0.525 | 95.7 | 97.6 | 54.7 | 22.0 | 7.6 | 2.9 |
| BAL | 8-4 | 0.543 | 49.3 | 81.2 | 39.4 | 16.0 | 5.9 | 2.4 |
| PHI | 6-7 | 0.583 | 2.7 | 47.8 | 21.0 | 8.9 | 4.0 | 1.7 |
| SF | 6-6 | 0.545 | 0.0 | 62.2 | 25.2 | 9.9 | 4.1 | 1.5 |
| LAC | 7-5 | 0.498 | 29.5 | 61.9 | 26.6 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 1.1 |
| DEN | 6-6 | 0.544 | 7.8 | 23.0 | 10.1 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| MIN | 5-7 | 0.505 | 0.6 | 28.1 | 10.3 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| NO | 5-7 | 0.496 | 0.6 | 24.3 | 8.7 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| CLE | 6-6 | 0.474 | 6.1 | 13.6 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| WAS | 6-6 | 0.403 | 4.5 | 30.5 | 8.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| PIT | 6-5-1 | 0.418 | 4.9 | 17.8 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| LV | 6-6 | 0.432 | 2.0 | 9.7 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| CAR | 5-7 | 0.463 | 0.3 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| SEA | 4-8 | 0.478 | - | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| MIA | 6-7 | 0.429 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| NYG | 4-8 | 0.370 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| ATL | 5-7 | 0.300 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| CHI | 4-8 | 0.328 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| DET | 1-10-1 | 0.295 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYJ | 3-9 | 0.268 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| JAC | 2-10 | 0.254 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| HOU | 2-10 | 0.229 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 13, Sunday)
First team eliminated from a division: Detroit (Week 11, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from the playoffs: Jacksonville, Houston (Week 13, Sunday)
[Week 1] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 2, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Denver
[Week 3, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Thursday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 4, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 7, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 8, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 10, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Thursday] New England over Arizona
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