2021-12-27

Super Bowl LVI Projection, Week 16, Sunday

Buffalo over Dallas

Now things are starting to fall into place. We had Kansas City and Tampa Bay clinch their divisions, LA and Arizona clinch playoff spots as they fight for the NFC West, and Seattle, Carolina, and New York all eliminated from the NFC playoffs, joining Chicago and Detroit, as well as Houston, Jacksonville, and New York on the AFC side.

Buffalo and New England played a very high-leverage game, because even though both are now 9-6, Buffalo's win gives them a nearly 7-in-8 chance at the division. Washington is still alive for a playoff spot too, despite a guaranteed losing record of 8-9 at best.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
BUF9-60.77286.899.361.039.625.115.6
DAL11-40.736++++69.441.425.213.6
KC11-40.696++++84.045.422.812.0
NE9-60.73713.198.953.831.818.410.6
TB11-40.711++++62.433.919.39.9
GB12-30.608++++88.941.616.96.8
IND9-60.6775.198.051.525.712.46.3
LAR11-40.65475.5++53.125.012.35.5
ARI10-50.65924.5++47.723.411.85.3
CIN9-60.64985.190.047.021.69.74.6
TEN10-50.56094.999.866.724.78.53.2
PHI8-70.643-62.327.613.76.52.8
SF8-70.579-63.524.510.44.21.5
NO7-70.557-58.121.28.73.31.2
BAL8-70.4983.935.312.34.21.20.4
LAC8-70.495-31.111.33.81.10.3
MIN7-80.521-14.45.01.70.60.2
CLE7-80.4698.59.42.70.80.20.1
MIA7-70.4450.08.02.40.70.20.0
LV8-70.370-18.64.31.00.20.0
DEN7-80.589-1.10.50.20.10.0
PIT7-7-10.3662.610.52.50.60.10.0
WAS6-90.306-1.40.20.00.00.0
ATL7-80.281-0.40.10.00.00.0
SEA5-100.498------
CAR5-100.360------
CHI5-100.292------
NYG4-110.270------
DET2-12-10.264------
HOU4-110.228------
NYJ4-110.225------
JAC2-130.184------

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a Division: Green Bay (Week 15, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: Detroit (Week 11, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from the playoffs: Jacksonville, Houston (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 2, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Denver
[Week 3, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Thursday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 4, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 7, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 8, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 10, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Final] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Thursday] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Saturday] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Monday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Saturday] New England over Dallas

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