The playoffs are all set. As you can see below, New England is the best wildcard team by far, outranking 7 division winners by strength and 6 by their odds to win it all. Pittsburgh and Las Vegas are the only 2 teams with a negative point differential, giving them a strength below .500. Everyone else is at least .605. You may argue that's a strike against the NFL's decision to expand to 14 playoff teams, but both are in the AFC, so one (Las Vegas) would have made it anyway, and Philadelphia would have been left out.
Now, as is tradition, I'll list who I'm rooting for in the upcoming games.
Las Vegas at Cincinnati (75%)
I haven't gotten to watch nearly as much football this year as in the past, so certain teams I just haven't seen play. I try to watch Kansas City games when they're on in the St. Louis market, but I missed their game against Cincinnati, and other than that I don't know that I've seen them play at all. I also don't feel like I saw Las Vegas much, except of course the final game of the season and all the drama about whether the teams would play for a tie. So with no real rooting interest, I'll root for Las Vegas in this one, just to potentially make things easier for Kansas City if they advance, although that brings the up the dreaded "you can't beat a team 3 times in a season" curse. We'll cross that bridge when we come to it.
New England at Buffalo (57%)
This has been a fun battle all year, with the teams overtaking each other for the division and even the conference several times. I would have bet on New England to come out on top after seeing the way Buffalo seemed to fall apart during a few stretches of games. They split their regular season games, so there's no third defeat curse in play. I'll root for Buffalo in this one.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 11-6 | 0.824 | ++ | ++ | 56.8 | 39.2 | 29.4 | 19.6 |
| DAL | 12-5 | 0.764 | ++ | ++ | 67.0 | 37.3 | 24.1 | 13.0 |
| NE | 10-7 | 0.780 | - | ++ | 43.2 | 29.7 | 19.5 | 11.8 |
| TB | 13-4 | 0.752 | ++ | ++ | 66.4 | 35.1 | 22.1 | 11.6 |
| KC | 12-5 | 0.696 | ++ | ++ | 78.2 | 35.4 | 17.9 | 9.0 |
| GB | 13-4 | 0.641 | ++ | ++ | ++ | 51.4 | 20.6 | 8.2 |
| TEN | 12-5 | 0.624 | ++ | ++ | ++ | 50.5 | 17.8 | 7.5 |
| CIN | 10-7 | 0.647 | ++ | ++ | 74.8 | 33.6 | 13.2 | 5.9 |
| LAR | 12-5 | 0.654 | ++ | ++ | 50.6 | 23.1 | 10.4 | 4.3 |
| ARI | 11-6 | 0.649 | - | ++ | 49.4 | 22.2 | 9.9 | 4.0 |
| SF | 10-7 | 0.616 | - | ++ | 33.0 | 15.5 | 6.6 | 2.5 |
| PHI | 9-8 | 0.605 | - | ++ | 33.6 | 15.5 | 6.2 | 2.3 |
| PIT | 9-7-1 | 0.390 | - | ++ | 21.8 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| LV | 10-7 | 0.382 | - | ++ | 25.2 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| IND | 9-8 | 0.654 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NO | 9-8 | 0.562 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| SEA | 7-10 | 0.557 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DEN | 7-10 | 0.530 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| LAC | 9-8 | 0.524 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| MIN | 8-9 | 0.498 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| BAL | 8-9 | 0.490 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CLE | 8-9 | 0.454 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| MIA | 9-8 | 0.433 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| WAS | 7-10 | 0.315 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CHI | 6-11 | 0.309 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CAR | 5-12 | 0.299 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DET | 3-13-1 | 0.252 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ATL | 7-10 | 0.241 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYG | 4-13 | 0.193 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| HOU | 4-13 | 0.192 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYJ | 4-13 | 0.189 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| JAC | 3-14 | 0.145 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a Division: Green Bay (Week 15, Sunday)
First to clinch a Bye: Green Bay (Week 17, Sunday)
First team eliminated from a division: Detroit (Week 11, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from the playoffs: Jacksonville, Houston (Week 13, Sunday)
[Week 1] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 2, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Denver
[Week 3, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Thursday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 4, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 7, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 8, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 10, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Final] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Thursday] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Saturday] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Monday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Saturday] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Sunday] Buffalo over Dallas
[Week 16, Final] Buffalo over Dallas
[Week 17, Sunday] Buffalo over Green Bay
[Week 17, Final] Buffalo over Green Bay
[Week 18, Saturday] Buffalo over Dallas
No comments:
Post a Comment