2022-01-04

Super Bowl LVI Projection, Week 17, Final

Buffalo over Green Bay

Pittsburgh beat Cleveland to keep their playoff hopes alive, so we still have 5 teams alive in the AFC. Baltimore and Pittsburgh play next week, which will certainly eliminate one of them. Since one of my good pals is a Pittsburgh fan, I try to keep him up to date on what they need to make the playoffs, and I noticed something that the rest of the internet seemed to also notice. He pointed out that Pittsburgh needed 2 of 3 teams to lose next week; Indianapolis, Los Angeles, and Las Vegas. I agreed, but then looked at the schedule and saw LA vs Las Vegas. Great, so he just needs Indianapolis to lose. But then I realized that a tie by LA and Las Vegas would let them both in instead of Pittsburgh. Then I saw that the game was set for Sunday night, so the teams will have all the information they need to know whether a tie is beneficial. Normally I root for chaos, but two teams intentionally playing to a tie might be bit much even for me.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
BUF10-60.79594.4++63.040.626.417.0
NE10-60.7925.6++58.838.324.515.7
DAL11-50.735++++59.034.020.010.1
GB13-30.655++++++50.923.19.6
TB12-40.718++++58.031.517.88.7
KC11-50.689++++59.127.013.06.6
TEN11-50.619++++94.440.414.66.3
LAR12-40.65871.9++53.324.011.74.9
ARI11-50.66528.1++46.422.111.14.7
IND9-70.675-93.042.621.79.54.7
CIN10-60.652++++51.921.49.34.3
PHI9-70.652-++43.020.99.94.1
SF9-70.610-57.324.110.44.31.6
LAC9-70.529-65.321.98.72.40.8
NO8-80.541-42.716.26.22.10.6
LV9-70.374-37.67.41.60.30.1
BAL8-80.496-1.30.40.10.00.0
PIT8-7-10.387-2.80.60.20.00.0
SEA6-100.543------
DEN7-90.540------
MIN7-90.474------
CLE7-90.445------
MIA8-80.413------
CAR5-110.341------
CHI6-100.334------
WAS6-100.296------
ATL7-90.257------
DET2-13-10.239------
NYG4-120.223------
NYJ4-120.217------
HOU4-120.198------
JAC2-140.139------

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a Division: Green Bay (Week 15, Sunday)
First to clinch a Bye: Green Bay (Week 17, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: Detroit (Week 11, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from the playoffs: Jacksonville, Houston (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 2, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Denver
[Week 3, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Thursday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 4, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 7, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 8, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 10, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Final] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Thursday] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Saturday] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Monday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Saturday] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Sunday] Buffalo over Dallas
[Week 16, Final] Buffalo over Dallas
[Week 17, Sunday] Buffalo over Green Bay

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