Super Bowl LVI Projection, Week 16, Saturday

New England over Dallas

Spending another Christmas at home, I had a chance to catch a little bit of Green Bay and Cleveland in the background, but I had no idea Indianapolis and Arizona even played until the next day when I went to run the numbers. Arizona built up such a lead that they are still over 99.9% likely to make the playoffs, but are nowhere near the favorite they once were. Green Bay escaped with a win to take a 1.5 game lead on Dallas for the #1 seed

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	9-5	0.754	57.1	99.0	72.4	45.7	28.9	18.2
BUF	8-6	0.755	42.8	81.3	49.3	30.0	18.8	11.9
DAL	10-4	0.680	100.0	++	63.5	35.0	19.6	9.6
GB	12-3	0.608	++	++	91.6	45.5	20.3	8.4
KC	10-4	0.654	92.7	98.8	69.4	34.9	16.1	8.3
TB	10-4	0.670	99.8	100.0	59.5	31.1	17.1	8.1
IND	9-6	0.677	4.7	98.0	57.3	30.0	14.7	7.9
ARI	10-5	0.659	42.7	99.9	52.6	27.3	14.7	6.8
LAR	10-4	0.643	57.3	98.9	51.8	25.7	13.2	5.9
TEN	10-5	0.560	95.3	99.7	60.3	23.5	8.4	3.5
CIN	8-6	0.618	57.4	66.8	32.2	14.6	6.2	2.9
SF	8-7	0.579	-	65.4	27.1	12.1	5.2	2.0
PHI	7-7	0.601	0.0	44.3	19.2	9.1	4.2	1.7
NO	7-7	0.557	0.2	54.1	21.3	9.1	3.7	1.4
LAC	8-6	0.515	6.1	61.4	24.4	8.7	2.7	1.0
BAL	8-6	0.536	27.6	47.8	18.5	6.9	2.4	0.9
MIN	7-7	0.533	-	32.9	12.3	4.9	1.9	0.6
DEN	7-7	0.596	1.2	16.8	7.6	3.3	1.3	0.6
PIT	7-6-1	0.415	9.5	15.2	4.1	1.1	0.3	0.1
CLE	7-8	0.469	5.4	7.2	2.3	0.7	0.2	0.1
MIA	7-7	0.445	0.0	3.5	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.0
WAS	6-8	0.372	-	4.3	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.0
LV	7-7	0.367	-	4.4	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0
ATL	6-8	0.280	-	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
CAR	5-9	0.413	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
SEA	5-9	0.500	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
NYG	4-10	0.312	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
CHI	4-10	0.291	-	-	-	-	-	-
DET	2-11-1	0.275	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	3-11	0.226	-	-	-	-	-	-
HOU	3-11	0.210	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	2-12	0.195	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a Division: Green Bay (Week 15, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: Detroit (Week 11, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from the playoffs: Jacksonville, Houston (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 2, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Denver
[Week 3, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Thursday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 4, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 7, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 8, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 10, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Final] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Thursday] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Saturday] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Monday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Thursday] New England over Dallas