2015-01-05

Superbowl XLIX Projection, Wildcard Sunday

Seattle over New England

With Seattle's matchup set to be against Carolina, their chances of being in the Superbowl are now nearly 50%. Baltimore is the only wildcard team left.

Now for my rooting interests next weekend.

Baltimore at New England: I can't ever root for the Patriots, I don't think. Maybe a situation will come up eventually. Baltimore it is.

Carolina at Seattle: If you're not a Seahawks fan, you have to admit it'd be kind of fun to see the NFL implode if Carolina gets much further. Carolina's my team.

Dallas at Green Bay: As a kid, especially before St. Louis had the Rams, this game would have been a must-watch; Favre vs Aikman. I think I'll root for Dallas in this one, though I like both teams.

Indianapolis at Denver: This one's a bit of a tossup too, so I'll take Denver in the event that New England beats Baltimore. Hopefully a cold weather team would have a better shot there in the AFC Championship than a dome team. We'd be subject to "Manning-Brady XVI" marketing, though. If Baltimore wins, I'll still root Denver.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivQtrSemiChamp
SEA12-40.787+83.23849.50629.743
NE12-40.751+55.01932.58316.524
GB12-40.730+53.81825.99013.629
BAL10-60.712-44.98124.42111.188
DAL12-40.699+46.18220.67710.056
DEN12-40.692+54.05324.22510.530
IND11-50.656+45.94718.7717.433
CAR7-8-10.427+16.7623.8270.898

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 16, Saturday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 17, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Indianapolis (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 14, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs (sort of): Arizona (Week 15, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs (for real this time): Arizona, New England, Indianapolis, Denver (Week 15, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: New England (Week 16, Sunday)
First to clinch homefield advantage throughout the playoffs: New England (Week 16, Final)

First team eliminated: Oakland (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Thursday]
[Week 16, Saturday]
[Week 16, Sunday]
[Week 16, Final]
[Week 17]
[Wildcard Saturday]

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