Superbowl XLIX Projection, Divisional Sunday

Seattle over New England

Indianapolis pulled off the upset in Denver, Dallas failed to do so in Green Bay, and the conference championships are set. Yesterday there were 5 teams still alive at 12-4, and 1 at 11-5, which is another reason I was rooting for Denver; symmetry is pleasing to me. The remaining teams are far enough apart in calculated strength that the ordering should remain the same even in the event of a blowout next week, so Seattle would be favored over New England and Indianapolis, while Green Bay would only be favored against Indianapolis. That leaves the remaining matchup - the only potential Superbowl rematch - with New England favored over Green Bay. I'll be rooting for both road teams next Sunday, which, to me, might be the best Sunday of professional football all year. There's nearly 7 hours of football, and twice the teams to root for. Maybe I'll try to get Conference Championship parties started to rival the tradition of Superbowl parties.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Conf. Champ	Champ
SEA	12-4	0.788	57.78	34.27
NE	12-4	0.752	61.34	29.58
GB	12-4	0.730	42.22	21.82
IND	11-5	0.656	38.66	14.32

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 16, Saturday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 17, Final)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Divisional Saturday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Indianapolis (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 14, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs (sort of): Arizona (Week 15, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs (for real this time): Arizona, New England, Indianapolis, Denver (Week 15, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: New England (Week 16, Sunday)
First to clinch homefield advantage throughout the playoffs: New England (Week 16, Final)

First team eliminated: Oakland (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Thursday]
[Week 16, Saturday]
[Week 16, Sunday]
[Week 16, Final]
[Week 17]
[Wildcard Saturday]
[Wildcard Sunday]
[Divisional Saturday]