Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 17, Final

New Orleans over Kansas City

With the regular season over, the playoff field is set. Interestingly, the top 3 favorites to win are all in the NFC, thanks to some very high strengths. In the AFC, Kansas City is just barely ahead of New England in terms of chances to make it to the Superbowl, so consider that almost a tossup, although for historical reasons I don't have any home field advantage taken into account.

I like to look for any weird imbalances when we get to the playoffs, and there really aren't many this year. All teams 11 teams with 10 wins or more made the playoffs. The only nonplayoff team with a better record than a playoff team this year is Pittsburgh, at 9-6-1, half a game better than 9-7 Philadelphia. Of course with 6 teams per conference, that doesn't do Pittsburgh any good.

Now for the annual tradition of my (rooting) picks.

Indianapolis at Houston: I always used to root for Peyton Manning and Marshall Faulk, but I was surprised to find myself not all that attached to Indianapolis as they moved on. They're even one of the teams that took out a goofy ad to tell St. Louis they should adopt them as their home team when the Rams left. But, I'm even less attached to Houston, so I'll root for Indianapolis in this one.

Seattle at Dallas: Just for old time's sake, let's root for the Cowboys in this one. I know it's popular to hate the Cowboys, just like the Yankees, but sometimes you just want to see a marquee team in there.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NO	13-3	0.745	++	++	++	66.67	34.48	19.21
CHI	12-4	0.768	++	++	73.82	41.37	23.97	14.08
LAR	13-3	0.722	++	++	++	48.75	25.58	13.50
KC	12-4	0.708	++	++	++	52.73	26.93	12.87
NE	11-5	0.708	++	++	++	52.36	26.80	12.80
BAL	10-6	0.714	++	++	53.09	26.95	14.22	6.90
LAC	12-4	0.688	-	++	46.91	22.36	11.11	5.05
HOU	11-5	0.674	++	++	50.80	23.37	10.82	4.75
SEA	10-6	0.653	-	++	62.15	24.80	10.08	4.51
IND	10-6	0.667	-	++	49.20	22.23	10.12	4.36
DAL	10-6	0.534	++	++	37.85	10.90	3.23	1.07
PHI	9-7	0.540	-	++	26.18	7.50	2.65	0.89
PIT	9-6-1	0.627	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIN	8-7-1	0.541	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	9-7	0.517	-	-	-	-	-	-
CAR	7-9	0.488	-	-	-	-	-	-
ATL	7-9	0.484	-	-	-	-	-	-
DEN	6-10	0.456	-	-	-	-	-	-
GB	6-9-1	0.454	-	-	-	-	-	-
CLE	7-8-1	0.434	-	-	-	-	-	-
DET	6-10	0.421	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYG	5-11	0.418	-	-	-	-	-	-
TB	5-11	0.383	-	-	-	-	-	-
CIN	6-10	0.345	-	-	-	-	-	-
SF	4-12	0.326	-	-	-	-	-	-
WAS	7-9	0.323	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	5-11	0.317	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	4-12	0.300	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIA	7-9	0.285	-	-	-	-	-	-
BUF	6-10	0.270	-	-	-	-	-	-
OAK	4-12	0.192	-	-	-	-	-	-
ARI	3-13	0.128	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 11, Final)
First to clinch a playoff spot: Los Angeles Rams (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: New Orleans (Week 16, Sunday)
First to clinch homefield in conference playoffs: New Orleans (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated from the Playoffs: San Francisco and Oakland (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 4, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 6, Final] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Sunday] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 10, Final] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 11, Thursday] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 11, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 11, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 12, Thursday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 12, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 12, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 13, Thursday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 13, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 13, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 14, Thursday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 14, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 14, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 15, Thursday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 15, Saturday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 15, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 15, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 16, Saturday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 16, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 16, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City