Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Week 12, Final

Seattle over Denver

I was so conflicted last night. On one hand, I can't root for division rival San Francisco, especially with the Rams currently in 4th. It's literally impossible to win a wildcard spot finishing in 4th. However, the Rams get Washington's first round pick next year, so I want them to do as poorly as possible. It seems unlikely we'll contend for the division - it would take a 5-0 finish and an 0-5 finish from Seattle - so I think I'm happy with the result.

Also, despite all my scenario-generating, Atlanta is finally eliminated. New Orleans and Carolina already have more than Atlanta's maximum 7 wins, and San Francisco and Arizona, both with 7, will play each other one more time, so at least one of them will have at least 8 wins (or 7 wins and a tie). Combined with Seattle's 10 wins, that means at least 2 NFC West and 2 NFC South teams - and therefore at least 2 non-division winners - will finish ahead of Atlanta, eliminating them.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SEA	10-1	0.730	94.669	99.822	98.199	57.854	31.927	18.982
CAR	8-3	0.730	39.538	96.375	79.671	45.852	24.942	14.824
NO	9-2	0.700	60.462	98.703	86.238	46.579	23.223	12.996
KC	9-2	0.689	38.823	99.928	78.087	44.813	25.812	12.490
SF	7-4	0.685	4.967	72.991	49.978	23.214	11.121	6.024
DEN	9-2	0.683	61.174	99.897	85.386	49.011	27.886	13.307
CIN	7-4	0.641	86.793	92.679	66.018	34.385	16.871	7.267
NE	8-3	0.612	97.804	99.145	82.008	41.071	18.523	7.435
ARI	7-4	0.567	0.358	21.864	12.010	4.069	1.461	0.610
GB	5-5-1	0.536	27.524	28.178	9.986	3.127	1.052	0.409
DAL	6-5	0.534	64.606	65.860	23.208	7.232	2.432	0.940
PHI	6-5	0.531	35.239	39.460	14.614	4.514	1.492	0.572
BAL	5-6	0.528	7.245	23.446	9.984	3.676	1.420	0.459
STL	5-6	0.522	0.005	1.340	0.664	0.196	0.063	0.023
SD	5-6	0.518	0.003	8.638	3.733	1.328	0.494	0.156
DET	6-5	0.517	46.341	47.907	16.603	4.940	1.572	0.582
TEN	5-6	0.510	6.957	26.298	10.748	3.730	1.366	0.421
IND	7-4	0.506	93.033	94.462	44.035	16.021	5.693	1.734
CHI	6-5	0.490	26.134	27.313	8.787	2.416	0.715	0.247
PIT	5-6	0.473	5.834	18.765	6.768	2.146	0.724	0.201
MIA	5-6	0.465	1.774	27.703	10.645	3.220	1.053	0.286
BUF	4-7	0.426	0.299	3.367	1.112	0.292	0.087	0.021
TB	3-8	0.399	-	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
OAK	4-7	0.384	-	1.128	0.336	0.083	0.021	0.004
MIN	2-8-1	0.371	0.001	0.001	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
CLE	4-7	0.369	0.128	1.912	0.543	0.120	0.030	0.006
NYG	4-7	0.366	0.141	0.172	0.039	0.007	0.001	0.000
WAS	3-8	0.357	0.015	0.015	0.003	0.001	0.000	0.000
ATL	2-9	0.351	-	-	-	-	-	-
HOU	2-9	0.325	0.006	0.008	0.002	0.000	0.000	0.000
NYJ	5-6	0.303	0.122	2.618	0.594	0.105	0.021	0.003
JAC	2-9	0.209	0.004	0.006	0.001	0.000	0.000	0.000

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]