2013-11-12

Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Week 10, Final

Kansas City over Seattle

The Monday Night Football matchup wasn't quite the intrastate showdown the NFL probably hoped for, but hey, even the Rams got a Monday game this year. And Tampa Bay managed to win a game, and now show at least 1 chance in my 500 million simulations of winning the Superbowl.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
KC9-00.71470.56299.97490.00056.84435.29219.419
CAR6-30.70643.40487.62469.58040.78322.50812.693
SEA9-10.70291.49099.65595.83156.54131.49917.609
NO7-20.67556.59591.45375.42541.60221.15311.190
DEN8-10.66429.42799.31172.01537.69620.58010.157
SF6-30.6468.38375.48748.56722.45410.7255.327
NE7-20.61694.53497.39978.35840.65818.1898.040
CIN6-40.60474.04782.51653.00225.24611.2034.816
GB5-40.56029.78138.49818.8296.9972.7411.123
IND6-30.55884.42088.91754.73023.4529.2483.564
DET6-30.54159.44271.41138.05313.7285.0461.973
DAL5-50.52861.84162.81024.2078.3703.0461.155
SD4-50.5200.01111.5775.1431.7150.6620.232
CHI5-40.52010.77220.3058.9822.9811.0590.394
PHI5-50.51534.30137.92714.8624.9461.7310.636
TEN4-50.50915.25829.90313.2024.5871.6690.566
BAL4-50.49811.94423.2179.7373.3101.1860.391
STL4-60.4790.0060.8340.3470.1010.0330.011
ARI5-40.4760.1219.9394.2611.2500.3980.132
MIA4-50.4661.95318.2487.3902.1690.7250.220
CLE4-50.44311.92221.4627.9042.3450.7240.206
PIT3-60.4192.0864.0281.2490.3290.0980.026
WAS3-60.4102.6122.7180.7460.1840.0490.013
MIN2-70.4040.0050.0100.0030.0010.0000.000
OAK3-60.3830.0001.8880.5800.1270.0340.008
BUF3-70.3820.1930.9590.2780.0620.0170.004
ATL2-70.3810.0010.0290.0090.0020.0010.000
NYJ5-40.3773.32019.9406.2431.4230.3640.085
TB1-80.3610.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
HOU2-70.3550.3110.6440.1670.0350.0090.002
NYG3-60.3521.2461.3010.2970.0600.0130.003
JAC1-80.2510.0110.0150.0020.0000.0000.000

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]

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