Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 8, Sunday

Denver over Dallas

Baltimore remains the strongest team in the league despite their narrow loss to Cincinnati, but that division loss hurts badly in the standings. They dropped from 79% to 54% likely to win the AFC North, and from an 89% chance of making the playoffs to just 70%. Thus, Denver has taken over as the most likely AFC representative in the Superbowl.

Dallas plays Monday night, but a Philadelphia loss has already boosted them even higher in the NFC, although Detroit made their own push with a win in London over Atlanta.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
BAL	5-3	0.660	53.942	70.294	51.854	30.127	17.363	10.409
SD	5-3	0.612	12.214	50.212	30.697	15.923	8.277	4.539
DEN	6-1	0.611	73.464	91.012	77.950	41.104	21.315	11.684
IND	5-3	0.603	81.873	84.668	56.812	29.062	14.700	7.927
KC	4-3	0.598	14.322	49.387	30.335	15.232	7.647	4.085
DET	6-2	0.590	70.053	87.853	70.387	38.243	20.388	9.993
DAL	6-1	0.589	63.555	89.932	73.481	39.808	21.238	10.392
NE	6-2	0.587	64.093	74.608	52.923	26.123	12.704	6.650
PHI	5-2	0.583	34.883	69.976	48.786	25.487	13.375	6.450
GB	5-3	0.556	24.520	51.629	31.728	15.575	7.697	3.502
ARI	6-1	0.553	69.032	87.468	69.227	34.587	16.803	7.609
BUF	5-3	0.549	30.814	44.000	25.344	11.418	5.098	2.467
SEA	4-3	0.544	16.239	41.381	24.868	11.865	5.687	2.526
HOU	4-4	0.540	17.902	28.523	15.167	6.750	2.984	1.420
SF	4-3	0.524	14.457	41.491	24.156	11.014	5.035	2.132
CLE	4-3	0.523	10.687	22.884	12.504	5.340	2.258	1.036
NO	3-4	0.519	55.977	56.609	26.917	12.018	5.417	2.269
PIT	5-3	0.517	18.537	40.160	23.013	9.660	4.011	1.814
MIA	3-4	0.494	5.080	8.720	4.146	1.659	0.659	0.285
CIN	4-2-1	0.494	16.834	35.209	19.160	7.574	2.976	1.280
CHI	4-4	0.470	4.828	15.196	7.596	3.077	1.262	0.471
NYG	3-4	0.470	1.306	8.599	3.985	1.593	0.653	0.242
ATL	2-6	0.448	11.036	11.164	4.389	1.655	0.636	0.224
WAS	2-5	0.438	0.256	1.297	0.540	0.201	0.077	0.026
MIN	3-5	0.420	0.598	3.315	1.334	0.470	0.170	0.056
CAR	3-4-1	0.420	31.923	32.290	12.023	4.234	1.508	0.493
STL	2-5	0.374	0.273	0.721	0.251	0.077	0.024	0.007
TEN	2-6	0.368	0.199	0.275	0.084	0.023	0.007	0.002
TB	1-6	0.357	1.064	1.081	0.332	0.098	0.029	0.008
OAK	0-7	0.352	0.001	0.001	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
NYJ	1-7	0.350	0.013	0.020	0.005	0.001	0.000	0.000
JAC	1-7	0.318	0.026	0.027	0.007	0.002	0.000	0.000

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Indianapolis (Week 7, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]