2014-10-13

Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 6, Sunday

San Diego over Philadelphia

Dallas won, but Philadelphia won in a huge shutout, and took over the NFC East title and NFC Championship chances.

Despite being at the top, San Diego beat Oakland by just a field goal, which seems a little discordant. Perhaps Oakland will climb up the charts a bit after their coaching change, but my money would still be on a sub-.250 season.

We had a tie for the 4th year in a row yesterday, an event that annually makes me question whether I ever made my projection software to handle it. Then I look back and see we had one last year, and all is at peace in my mind again.

Tonight, the Rams host the 49ers, and the fans have clearly already given up for the year. Earlier this week, tickets were going as cheap as $8 on the secondary market. As of Monday morning, the cheapest were still under $20. October, at least when the Cardinals are in the playoffs, is not a great time for the Rams and Blues to try to get any attention. The Blues home opener completely sneaked up on me, getting almost no local coverage. With the Cardinals off tonight, and the Rams the only football on TV, a good game might bring some local fans back to the team. I'll support them at least until they leave town, and tonight I'll be wearing my "Greatest Show on Turf" Stephen Jackson throwback jersey.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SD5-10.63360.25487.19871.84841.37923.49813.674
BAL4-20.62452.34273.70855.61331.10017.0279.735
DET4-20.59053.23374.04956.67331.47617.1148.650
IND4-20.58678.96883.72759.56930.62015.3678.194
PHI5-10.58651.28981.53364.13935.08219.0609.544
DEN4-10.57534.46572.98551.59725.47412.6216.584
DAL5-10.57244.24780.59661.60232.53417.1518.362
GB4-20.55836.85359.33840.82520.98010.6575.049
CIN3-1-10.53926.77553.03934.37715.7717.1253.464
NE4-20.53953.81760.38236.32716.5197.4423.618
KC2-30.5385.25121.39211.9455.4202.4851.203
SEA3-20.53830.48748.15931.98815.5947.5193.404
CLE3-20.53516.85638.42423.34010.6064.7622.296
HOU3-30.52718.83435.27819.6998.7533.8711.834
ARI4-10.52146.16364.10744.71721.1559.8304.290
SF3-20.50920.20137.31322.85210.4264.7222.007
BUF3-30.50428.14934.02416.9347.0522.9371.325
CHI3-30.4988.84221.76412.4195.5862.5001.035
MIA2-30.49216.35520.78610.1474.1271.6800.739
ATL2-40.49019.69621.1259.9954.3181.8740.762
NYG3-30.4904.32018.1219.7384.2321.8620.758
NO2-30.48525.24027.71413.5055.7742.4710.992
CAR3-2-10.47053.70955.23126.80611.0824.5781.773
PIT3-30.4684.02713.3706.5862.5430.9810.407
STL1-30.4403.1495.0482.3100.8840.3430.123
WAS1-50.4380.1450.8740.3780.1440.0560.020
MIN2-40.4161.0723.5561.5550.5690.2100.071
TEN2-40.4022.1623.6331.3470.4370.1430.050
OAK0-50.3970.0300.1200.0420.0130.0040.002
NYJ1-50.3811.6781.8840.6130.1820.0550.019
TB1-50.3751.3551.4710.4980.1610.0520.016
JAC0-60.3410.0360.0490.0140.0040.0010.000

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]

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