2014-10-06

Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 5, Sunday

San Diego over Dallas

Well, easy come, easy go, right? Cincinnati is now the 4th most likely team to make the Superbowl from the AFC, and Arizona is 7th in the NFC. The Cardinals were definitely riding on a razor's edge on the strength of being undefeated. Their point differential is now exactly 0, meaning they're projected as a .500 team the rest of the way, despite being 3-1.

San Diego was already the 3rd strongest team, and their 31-0 victory brought them way up to the top, by quite a margin. Dallas is now the strongest and most favored team in the NFC. Seattle seems to have a way of suddenly breaking out for large numbers of points, and/or completely shutting down opponents on defense, so we'll see if Dallas can hang onto that spot for more than today.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SD4-10.62662.52084.80170.72141.44524.13214.426
BAL3-20.57934.57957.41339.53320.63910.6095.832
IND3-20.57957.30468.08647.43824.87612.7637.009
DAL4-10.56041.19069.55952.84828.51715.3677.593
GB3-20.55340.63755.86039.07220.74410.9345.322
DET3-20.55144.68260.82843.68623.13512.1475.890
DEN3-10.55129.76662.10442.22120.45610.0505.238
CIN3-10.54439.90058.75840.73119.7329.3504.807
NYG3-20.54121.80946.23731.25216.1058.3293.957
HOU3-20.54140.69957.33037.44718.0338.5294.362
PHI4-10.53835.13662.94045.51123.34812.0105.667
KC2-30.5387.49124.60814.3106.7603.2311.642
NE3-20.53233.10143.87326.84712.5395.8092.921
SEA2-10.53135.63152.63237.57319.0479.5264.428
BUF3-20.51843.32050.18128.86213.0075.8132.836
ATL2-30.51334.70338.40821.90910.5435.0582.261
PIT3-20.51316.32434.64220.7969.3394.1422.001
SF3-20.50923.84341.16726.39212.7086.0642.684
ARI3-10.50036.60853.90436.70717.3708.1263.527
MIA2-20.49820.98629.52016.1196.9632.9961.403
CLE2-20.4969.19821.31112.0935.2322.2421.047
NO2-30.48521.75825.89913.9186.3042.8501.195
WAS1-30.4751.8658.1244.3321.9320.8650.355
CHI2-30.4727.67314.5458.0333.5901.5960.650
CAR3-20.46741.00047.10727.25711.8665.1412.066
MIN2-30.4507.00813.5897.2363.0711.2970.501
STL1-30.4403.9186.0552.9491.2140.4980.188
TB1-40.4132.5403.1461.3250.5070.1930.068
TEN1-40.4071.7592.8481.1200.3880.1350.051
NYJ1-40.4042.5943.6861.4520.4900.1660.062
OAK0-40.4020.2230.5040.1970.0680.0240.009
JAC0-50.3620.2380.3350.1120.0340.0110.004

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]

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