2016-11-01

Superbowl LI Projection, Week 8, Final

New England over Dallas

I wrote yesterday's post assuming that Minnesota would win, saying that their margin of victory would determine if they took back the NFC lead from Dallas. As they say, on any given Monday night, any team can win. Well that's not exactly the saying, but the point is Chicago won, and Minnesota lost. Dallas is now the only 1-loss team in the NFC, with Minnesota right behind them as the only 2-loss team, if you count Seattle as a 2.5 loss team.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE7-10.65897.1299.2197.3160.8636.6321.42
PHI4-30.62315.3560.6140.6122.3612.546.60
DEN6-20.62248.4286.3170.5640.5521.3611.67
DAL6-10.61075.2294.4083.3246.4525.5513.10
MIN5-20.59068.2782.6265.3334.8517.908.80
ARI3-4-10.58831.2840.7824.7312.776.563.21
BUF4-40.5761.6435.5321.169.594.702.35
KC5-20.56129.8871.1250.1324.4011.155.40
SEA4-2-10.55961.5169.1145.0522.1210.644.91
ATL5-30.54769.1374.8349.0623.2610.824.86
PIT4-30.54165.9469.3339.2117.557.743.59
GB4-30.53222.8646.2427.5012.635.712.48
SD3-50.5220.359.565.122.020.880.39
OAK6-20.52121.3565.7043.2718.817.863.50
TEN4-40.49827.3933.9216.896.672.681.13
WAS4-3-10.4943.4727.0813.535.562.350.94
CAR2-50.4923.956.232.881.170.490.19
DET4-40.4868.4821.9611.684.811.970.77
BAL3-40.48619.7422.3110.333.971.570.64
NYG4-30.4815.9628.3014.385.762.360.91
NO3-40.47816.0222.2810.994.401.760.67
MIA3-40.4721.0211.025.552.000.780.31
IND3-50.46310.1512.145.191.830.680.26
CIN3-4-10.45414.2916.516.922.430.890.34
TB3-40.43110.8914.166.132.180.780.26
HOU5-30.42858.8261.5626.228.702.901.03
LA3-40.4226.9010.014.301.510.530.18
JAC2-50.3963.643.931.390.410.130.04
CHI2-60.3910.391.000.370.120.040.01
NYJ3-50.3860.221.820.740.220.070.02
SF1-60.3780.310.380.130.040.010.00
CLE0-80.3630.030.030.010.000.000.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 6, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over Dallas

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