2017-12-19

Superbowl LII Projection, Week 15, Final

Jacksonville over Philadelphia

Atlanta beat Tampa on Monday night, which eliminated Green Bay from the playoffs. Atlanta increased their chance of winning the AFC South by about 6 percentage points, but as of right now both wildcards are most likely to come from that division anyway. Detroit, Seattle, and Dallas are all a game behind Atlanta for the final wildcard, so the field of 6 in the NFC could be set after Week 16's Sunday games. The same could happen in the AFC after Monday. Most likely at least one position will be up for grabs, and even more likely, some valuable homefield advantage will still be at stake in Week 17.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
JAC10-40.80599.65++88.4561.1640.8324.66
PHI12-20.756++++++62.1833.7917.91
LAR10-40.76699.0499.3671.1640.5922.7612.39
NE11-30.713++++94.1552.7825.1912.07
MIN11-30.708++++95.6545.9122.0310.39
NO10-40.71063.8596.4758.7127.3513.016.16
PIT11-30.634++++89.5435.0714.145.55
BAL8-60.682-92.4650.9123.7010.424.62
KC8-60.61097.0497.0446.6018.196.542.41
CAR10-40.59318.8392.3336.5212.284.371.54
ATL9-50.57717.3276.4227.128.623.001.02
LAC7-70.6322.9627.8311.034.551.840.72
DET8-60.535-17.925.271.440.470.14
SEA8-60.5570.9612.924.161.220.420.14
TEN8-60.4520.3531.837.682.000.510.12
BUF8-60.406-47.8911.212.480.520.11
DAL8-60.550-4.591.420.410.140.04
MIA6-80.314-2.710.390.060.010.00
OAK6-80.409-0.240.050.010.000.00
GB7-70.452------
WAS6-80.396------
TB4-100.395------
HOU4-100.389------
NYJ5-90.385------
CHI4-100.357------
DEN5-90.342------
CIN5-90.334------
SF4-100.324------
ARI6-80.309------
NYG2-120.248------
IND3-110.228------
CLE0-140.203------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Kansas City (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Philadelphia and Pittsburgh (Week 14, Sunday)

First teams eliminated from playoff contention: San Francisco, Cleveland, New York Giants (Week 12, Sunday)

[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 5, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Thursday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 7, Thursday] Philadelphia over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 8, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 11, Sunday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 12, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 14, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 14, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 14, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 15, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 15, Saturday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 15, Sunday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia

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