2014-10-07

2014 World Series Projection, October 7

Baltimore over San Francisco

League Championship Series
KC 0-0 BAL

Division Series
KC 3-0 LAA
DET 0-3 BAL
STL 2-1 LAD
SF 2-1 WAS

Wildcard Round
OAK 0-1 KC
SF 1-0 PIT

TeamStrengthLCSWSWin
WAS0.595531.3620.1211.78
BAL0.5783100.0062.8035.70
LAD0.568731.0216.458.66
SF0.536368.6435.3316.11
KC0.5193100.0037.2016.39
STL0.511968.9828.1011.36

Today's projection stays the same, but weakens a bit. Yesterday the matchup was 24.8% likely, and today it's 22.2%. San Francisco is still in the driver's seat in the NL, but a loss tonight would flip that series back to Washington's favor. I'll be rooting for the Nationals tonight, just to prolong the series.

As for the Cardinals, it would seem the key to the Dodgers is getting to their bullpen, so hopefully the short-rested Kershaw will tire out a bit early tonight. I know, that's kind of like hoping Michael Jordan would be too tired to dominate an NBA Finals game, but a fan can dream.

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