2014-10-26

NCAA Football Power Rankings, Week 9

We have our first repeat #1, with Mississippi taking back the top spot they lost in their bye week, due in part to Week 8 #1 Florida State's bye week. Ole Miss maintained the #2 spot, by losing to a very strong team, the now-#6 LSU Tigers.

Conference Play is not going to be kind to Marshall. They went from #4 to #8 this week despite a win, because their opponent was now-#100 Florida Atlantic. Their 4 remaining opponents are ranked #80-#97, and the current likely conference championship opponent is ranked #49. Those games aren't going to get them a lot of credibility, but it'd be an interesting decision the committee would have to make to start the College Football Playoff Era.

Missouri's win over Vanderbilt only bumped them up one spot to #19. It's going to take some wins and some help for me to consider them a playoff contender.

At the bottom, SMU lost again and maintains a hold on #127.

1Mississippi State7-0
2Ole Miss7-1
3Florida State7-0
4Alabama7-1
5Oregon7-1
6LSU7-2
7Nebraska7-1
8Marshall8-0
9Michigan State7-1
10Auburn6-1
11Clemson6-2
12Colorado State7-1
13Notre Dame6-1
14Georgia Tech6-2
15Kansas State6-1
16TCU6-1
17West Virginia6-2
18UCLA6-2
19Missouri6-2
20Utah6-1
21Boise State6-2
22Georgia6-1
23Ohio State6-1
24Arizona6-1
25Arizona State6-1
26Minnesota6-2
27Louisville6-2
28Baylor6-1
29Duke6-1
30East Carolina6-1
31Miami (FL)5-3
32Maryland5-3
33Oklahoma5-2
34USC5-3
35Wisconsin5-2
36Texas A&M5-3
37Northern Illinois6-2
38UCF5-2
39Washington5-3
40Oklahoma State5-3
41Kentucky5-3
42Iowa5-2
43Boston College5-3
44Georgia Southern6-2
45Stanford5-3
46Toledo5-3
47Utah State5-3
48Nevada5-3
49Louisiana Tech5-3
50Virginia Tech4-4
51North Carolina4-4
52Middle Tennessee5-3
53Rutgers5-3
54Western Michigan5-3
55Air Force5-2
56Central Michigan5-4
57North Carolina State4-4
58South Carolina4-4
59Illinois4-4
60Bowling Green5-3
61Virginia4-4
62Louisiana-Lafayette4-3
63Arkansas4-4
64Pittsburgh4-4
65South Alabama5-2
66California4-4
67Arkansas State4-3
68Penn State4-3
69BYU4-4
70Memphis4-3
71Oregon State4-3
72Houston4-3
73Cincinnati4-3
74Syracuse3-5
75Florida3-3
76Purdue3-5
77Tennessee3-5
78Navy4-4
79UTEP4-3
80Rice4-3
81San Diego State4-3
82Northwestern3-4
83Indiana3-4
84Ohio4-5
85UAB4-4
86Texas Tech3-5
87Texas State4-3
88Temple4-3
89Akron4-4
90Michigan3-5
91Wyoming3-5
92Southern Miss3-5
93San Jose State3-4
94Texas3-5
95Florida International3-5
96Ball State3-5
97Western Kentucky3-4
98Fresno State3-5
99South Florida3-5
100Florida Atlantic3-5
101Iowa State2-5
102Louisiana-Monroe3-4
103Washington State2-6
104Buffalo3-5
105Kansas2-5
106Vanderbilt2-6
107Tulane2-5
108Colorado2-6
109Wake Forest2-6
110UNLV2-6
111UTSA2-6
112Hawaii2-6
113New Mexico2-5
114Appalachian State2-5
115Eastern Michigan2-6
116Army2-5
117Miami (OH)2-7
118New Mexico State2-6
119North Texas2-6
120Connecticut1-6
121Tulsa1-6
122Massachusetts2-7
123Georgia State1-7
124Idaho1-6
125Troy1-7
126Kent State1-7
127SMU0-7


2014 History and #1s
Week 1 Everybody who was 1-0
Week 2 LSU
Week 3 Oklahoma
Week 4 North Carolina State
Week 5 Nebraska
Week 6 Auburn
Week 7 Mississippi State
Week 8 Florida State

3 comments:

  1. Not to throw too many darts, but any rankings that put a 6-2 team ahead of a 6-1 team which beat that 6-2 team 34-0 has a somewhat questionable methodology.

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    Replies
    1. Feel free to throw darts, there's definitely flaws in this system, and probably any system. I agree sometimes it comes out looking odd. One reason is that the scores aren't taken into account, per the old BCS rules for computers. Of course, we all LOVED the results of the BCS, right? I've thought about putting scoring into it, because that rule was supposedly because the BCS didn't want the coaches trying to play to the computers by running up the score on weak teams to counteract close calls against good teams. I don't think my dinky little blog with rankings will concern any coaches, so there's no danger in me causing a problem by counting an 82 point game as a bigger win than a 10-7.

      It also doesn't exactly matter who you beat, which again, has its ups and downs. Basically a team is being ranked on their opponents and record. It's somewhat similar to an Elo rating in that regard. If Missouri had defeated Georgia, but lost to someone else, and Georgia beat South Carolina to still be 6-1 (and then a whole bunch of other stuff happened to even everything back out), their rankings would be the same. If a team played Florida State and SMU, and went 1-1, that's all we'd need to know to rank them. It wouldn't make a difference if they beat the good team and lost to the bad team, or beat the bad team and lost to the good team. What matters (in this system) is how tough your schedule was overall, and how you handled it, not the individual games.

      If Missouri and Georgia have the same results this Saturday, and Missouri remains more highly ranked, I'll try to flesh out how I got to that more fully in next week's post.

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    2. I understand where you are coming from on how the systems don't take scores into account. The odd thing I see, though, is that the BCS computer systems that are still being run -- Sagarin, for example -- absolutely loves Georgia this year. That's why I posed my lack of understanding on how your system is working, since it is an outlier as far as the computer rankings are concerned.

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