League Championship Series
KC 1-0 BAL
STL 0-0 SF
Division Series
KC 3-0 LAA
DET 0-3 BAL
STL 3-1 LAD
SF 3-1 WAS
Wildcard Round
OAK 0-1 KC
SF 1-0 PIT
| Team | Strength | WS | Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0.5783 | 46.05 | 28.31 |
| SF | 0.5363 | 55.33 | 26.43 |
| KC | 0.5193 | 53.95 | 26.25 |
| STL | 0.5119 | 44.67 | 19.00 |
Kansas City may set a record for most extra inning games or extra innings played in one postseason. I have no idea what the current records are, but I'm sure one more 10-inning game and I'm sure the broadcasters will start telling us.
My actual projection is a little weird. If you asked "Who is most likely to win the world Series?" I'd say Baltimore. But, if you asked who is most likely to win the ALCS, the answer right now is Kansas City. That's because if Baltimore does win the ALCS, they'll be more favored than Kansas City to win the World Series. Another way to look at it, is that 17.74% of cases have Baltimore making the World Series and losing, but 27.7% have Kansas City making it and losing. The projection itself will be somewhat uninteresting from this point forward, as the teams are evenly matched enough that leader in the LCS will always be favored. But, that's why I have the numbers, to show just how likely the likeliest case is.
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