2024-12-27

Super Bowl LIX Projection, Week 17, Thursday

Detroit over Kansas City

Seattle was fighting for the playoff lives on Thursday, as I believe they needed a win to stay alive in the NFC West race. They pulled off a stunning 6-3 victory featuring no second half points. I'm sure Bezos is thrilled. Saturday's games are all on NFL Network, which means I get no bonus football day this week. LA and Denver could lock up the last AFC playoff spots, and in the NFC, LA can almost clinch, needing but would need some help from other teams later. If Seattle were to beat LA next Sunday, the first 4 tiebreakers would not be able to break the tie, and it would come down to strength of victory. While they had the same record in their 14 common games, they beat different teams, and LA has a significant lead in SOV so far.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
DET13-20.78075.0++94.659.036.322.8
KC15-10.692++++++59.831.314.3
MIN13-20.71825.0++77.139.819.410.7
BUF12-30.711++++60.134.219.39.2
BAL11-50.70993.8++61.634.719.39.2
GB11-40.719-++64.130.915.78.7
PHI12-30.71299.1++56.732.815.18.2
DEN9-60.661-85.839.218.69.74.1
LAC9-60.616-97.746.821.09.23.5
WSH10-50.6380.996.746.317.27.23.3
PIT10-60.5716.2++49.619.07.42.5
TB8-70.62451.254.522.59.43.51.6
HOU9-70.482++++38.511.53.50.9
LAR9-60.46570.770.718.55.11.20.4
SEA9-70.50429.329.38.52.60.70.2
ATL8-70.45748.848.811.73.20.80.2
CIN7-80.548-3.11.00.40.10.0
IND7-80.421-8.21.90.50.10.0
MIA7-80.450-5.11.30.30.10.0
ARI7-80.504------
SF6-90.465------
NO5-100.426------
NYJ4-110.394------
CHI4-120.366------
DAL7-80.359------
NE3-120.297------
JAX3-120.284------
TEN3-120.271------
LV3-120.268------
CLE3-120.246------
CAR4-110.237------
NYG2-130.212------

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (Week 13, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 13, Friday)
First to clinch a Division: Buffalo (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a Bye: Kansas City (Week 17, Wednesday)

First teams eliminated from a division: New England, Las Vegas, and New York Giants (Week 12, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: New York Giants (Week 13, Thursday)

[Week 1, Final] New Orleans over Los Angeles Chargers
[Week 2, Thursday] Buffalo over New Orleans
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 3, Final] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Thursday] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 8, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 8, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 10, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Friday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 14, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 14, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 14, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 15, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 15, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 15, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 16, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 16, Saturday] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 16, Sunday] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 16, Final] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 17, Wednesday] Detroit over Kansas City

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