Super Bowl LIX Projection, Week 3, Thursday

Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans

My new simulator also writes out the probabilities of the upcoming games, so I can see in real time how bad I am at this. New England was slightly favored over the Jets, and lost 24-3. That result didn't bother the Chargers, who are still atop the AFC and your most likely Super Bowl champ by just a hair.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
LAC	2-0	0.556	51.5	78.2	51.7	28.3	15.4	8.2
NO	2-0	0.555	48.3	78.1	52.1	28.3	15.3	8.2
PIT	2-0	0.544	60.8	77.2	49.8	26.6	14.0	7.3
MIN	2-0	0.548	48.3	73.5	47.8	25.6	13.6	7.2
BUF	2-0	0.539	50.4	75.9	48.3	25.4	13.3	6.9
TB	2-0	0.535	37.4	72.3	45.5	23.6	12.2	6.3
HOU	2-0	0.515	62.3	73.4	43.4	21.7	10.7	5.3
NYJ	2-1	0.531	33.3	65.6	38.9	20.1	10.3	5.3
KC	2-0	0.514	31.7	66.0	38.6	19.2	9.5	4.7
SEA	2-0	0.517	41.3	62.4	36.6	18.3	9.1	4.5
ARI	1-1	0.534	30.6	53.1	30.9	16.0	8.2	4.2
PHI	1-1	0.506	35.8	49.6	26.8	13.0	6.3	3.1
SF	1-1	0.513	23.7	43.1	23.5	11.6	5.7	2.8
CHI	1-1	0.502	18.0	40.3	21.7	10.5	5.0	2.4
DET	1-1	0.504	16.9	37.7	20.1	9.7	4.7	2.3
GB	1-1	0.502	16.8	36.6	19.5	9.4	4.5	2.2
DAL	1-1	0.486	28.7	40.6	20.6	9.6	4.4	2.1
LV	1-1	0.481	11.4	37.9	19.2	8.8	4.1	1.9
CLE	1-1	0.478	18.1	38.7	19.6	8.9	4.1	1.9
ATL	1-1	0.483	11.8	36.2	18.7	8.7	4.0	1.9
WSH	1-1	0.476	26.5	38.4	19.0	8.6	3.9	1.8
MIA	1-1	0.465	10.4	33.4	16.2	7.2	3.2	1.4
IND	0-2	0.484	11.8	24.6	12.1	5.6	2.6	1.2
CIN	0-2	0.485	11.5	23.4	11.5	5.3	2.5	1.1
JAX	0-2	0.480	13.5	22.6	11.0	5.0	2.3	1.1
BAL	0-2	0.483	9.6	20.5	10.0	4.6	2.2	1.0
TEN	0-2	0.473	12.3	22.1	10.6	4.8	2.2	1.0
NE	1-2	0.455	6.0	22.2	10.3	4.5	2.0	0.8
DEN	0-2	0.469	5.3	18.4	8.7	3.9	1.8	0.8
NYG	0-2	0.454	9.0	15.0	6.8	2.9	1.3	0.6
CAR	0-2	0.442	2.5	12.1	5.4	2.3	1.0	0.4
LAR	0-2	0.451	4.3	11.0	5.0	2.2	0.9	0.4

[Week 1, Final] New Orleans over Los Angeles Chargers
[Week 2, Thursday] Buffalo over New Orleans
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans