2024-12-02

Super Bowl LIX Projection, Week 13, Sunday

Detroit over Buffalo

Buffalo has now officially joined the playoff party as a division winner, while New England eliminated themselves with a loss. Since Buffalo clinched, Miami and the New York Jets are also eliminated from winning a division. I also show Cincinnati unable to win their division, but I haven't quite run through all the scenarios. It does look like their best case is a 3-way tie with Pittsburgh and Baltimore, though.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
DET11-10.76185.21100.0091.1360.0738.7324.42
BUF10-20.711++++83.1050.5430.5115.98
PHI10-20.68396.4799.9966.3539.0418.6210.00
MIN10-20.65012.3299.6766.0631.4014.267.14
LAC8-40.6598.4497.2755.6428.8914.936.95
PIT9-30.63981.8599.5457.1929.2114.236.32
KC11-10.60690.85++67.9433.0214.535.97
GB9-30.6402.4697.3356.9925.0911.455.61
DEN7-50.6340.7180.6940.9719.409.644.23
WSH8-50.6313.5387.8143.8718.278.504.09
BAL8-50.60418.1494.5046.3020.919.463.86
HOU8-50.53896.9597.6739.6515.405.882.04
TB6-60.56554.3061.2624.999.803.581.48
SEA7-50.51444.3046.8617.035.921.870.68
ARI6-60.51438.0739.1114.074.911.560.57
ATL6-60.43544.7247.0913.563.830.980.29
IND6-70.4382.9721.856.691.920.600.16
LAR6-60.43115.6016.224.601.280.320.09
MIA5-70.429-7.242.120.590.180.05
SF5-70.4542.032.610.770.220.060.02
NO4-80.4910.961.300.420.130.040.01
CIN4-80.492-1.000.350.110.040.01
DAL5-70.3460.000.680.140.020.010.00
CHI4-80.502-0.040.010.000.000.00
CLE3-80.3400.000.100.020.000.000.00
TEN3-90.3080.090.120.020.000.000.00
NYJ3-90.410-0.020.010.000.000.00
CAR3-90.2690.020.020.000.000.000.00
JAX2-100.312-0.000.000.000.000.00
NE3-100.326------
LV2-100.311------
NYG2-100.303------

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (Week 13, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 13, Friday)
First to clinch a Division: Buffalo (Week 13, Sunday)

First teams eliminated from a division: New England, Las Vegas, and New York Giants (Week 12, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: New York Giants (Week 13, Thursday)

[Week 1, Final] New Orleans over Los Angeles Chargers
[Week 2, Thursday] Buffalo over New Orleans
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 3, Final] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Thursday] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 8, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 8, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 10, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Friday] Detroit over Buffalo

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