On Thursday morning a friend of mine sent me a graphic with the AFC playoff chances for each team, and asked how mine stacked up. They had Baltimore way overrated (or I had them underrated), and were a bit more certain on the teams towards the 100% and 0% end. When they were losing to Cincinnati pretty deep into the game, I felt like my numbers would be justified, but alas they won by a point. I still don't have them up in the 99% range, but they got out of the 80s at least.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 7-1 | 0.660 | 70.2 | 97.4 | 77.6 | 46.4 | 27.3 | 15.1 |
| BUF | 7-2 | 0.644 | 99.1 | 99.6 | 65.6 | 36.6 | 20.0 | 10.9 |
| KC | 8-0 | 0.606 | 83.2 | 99.7 | 78.8 | 40.9 | 20.1 | 10.2 |
| WSH | 7-2 | 0.621 | 62.3 | 96.3 | 66.9 | 36.9 | 19.3 | 9.9 |
| PIT | 6-2 | 0.639 | 61.5 | 96.0 | 60.8 | 33.1 | 17.8 | 9.6 |
| LAC | 5-3 | 0.639 | 13.6 | 90.2 | 52.9 | 28.4 | 15.4 | 8.3 |
| MIN | 6-2 | 0.608 | 21.4 | 85.2 | 53.1 | 27.3 | 14.0 | 7.0 |
| BAL | 7-3 | 0.597 | 38.1 | 94.9 | 50.4 | 24.6 | 12.0 | 6.0 |
| PHI | 6-2 | 0.584 | 37.3 | 87.2 | 52.0 | 25.8 | 12.4 | 5.8 |
| GB | 6-3 | 0.566 | 6.3 | 62.8 | 32.8 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 3.2 |
| ATL | 6-3 | 0.509 | 83.0 | 86.9 | 39.1 | 16.3 | 6.6 | 2.6 |
| HOU | 6-3 | 0.502 | 89.7 | 93.7 | 39.6 | 15.2 | 5.9 | 2.4 |
| DEN | 5-4 | 0.550 | 3.2 | 60.9 | 27.4 | 11.9 | 5.2 | 2.3 |
| SF | 4-4 | 0.550 | 25.6 | 33.5 | 15.6 | 7.0 | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| TB | 4-5 | 0.525 | 16.5 | 38.4 | 17.3 | 7.2 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| ARI | 5-4 | 0.487 | 46.7 | 51.7 | 20.5 | 8.0 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| CHI | 4-4 | 0.552 | 2.1 | 21.8 | 10.7 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| IND | 4-5 | 0.490 | 8.5 | 33.9 | 13.1 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| CIN | 4-6 | 0.513 | 0.4 | 13.7 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| LAR | 4-4 | 0.454 | 18.1 | 22.3 | 8.2 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| SEA | 4-5 | 0.480 | 9.7 | 12.9 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| NYJ | 3-6 | 0.473 | 0.8 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| DAL | 3-5 | 0.408 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| NO | 2-7 | 0.460 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| JAX | 2-7 | 0.403 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| MIA | 2-6 | 0.371 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| TEN | 2-6 | 0.369 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| CLE | 2-7 | 0.369 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| LV | 2-7 | 0.358 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| NE | 2-7 | 0.350 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| NYG | 2-7 | 0.366 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| CAR | 2-7 | 0.295 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
[Week 1, Final] New Orleans over Los Angeles Chargers
[Week 2, Thursday] Buffalo over New Orleans
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 3, Final] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Thursday] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 8, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 8, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Detroit over Kansas City
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