2024-12-16

Super Bowl LIX Projection, Week 15, Sunday

Detroit over Buffalo

We had a possible Super Bowl Prematch, a word I just made up. I had Detroit favored to win, and still would, but Buffalo won by scoring 48 of the 90(!) points in that game. Minnesota and Pittsburgh are into the playoffs, along with Houston winning the AFC South. Meanwhile, Carolina eliminated themselves with a loss, and Chicago has been eliminated by some combination of wins that raised the minimum bar for the #7 NFC seed. So now we've got 7 teams in, 9 teams out, 7 spots left up for grabs, and 9 eliminations to go.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
DET12-20.75680.9++87.455.032.920.5
PHI12-20.72199.5++70.742.321.912.7
BUF11-30.703++++71.241.824.112.1
KC13-10.642++++85.844.121.29.2
MIN11-20.68218.9++69.033.716.08.5
DEN9-50.677-97.453.528.315.37.2
GB10-40.6620.199.754.524.111.25.7
PIT10-40.64176.3++52.225.412.45.4
BAL9-50.63723.799.052.425.212.15.2
WSH9-50.6360.593.342.517.27.73.7
TB8-60.62789.692.342.318.17.53.5
LAC8-60.605-90.040.718.38.23.2
HOU9-50.555++++40.815.96.32.2
SEA8-60.50443.343.614.04.31.30.5
LAR8-60.44740.841.111.22.90.70.2
ARI7-70.51615.916.25.31.70.50.2
ATL6-70.39910.413.63.10.70.20.0
IND6-80.402-8.32.00.50.10.0
MIA6-80.425-4.01.10.30.10.0
CIN6-80.519-1.30.40.20.10.0
NO5-90.4940.10.10.00.00.00.0
DAL6-80.356-0.10.00.00.00.0
SF6-80.488-0.00.00.00.00.0
CHI4-90.449------
NYJ4-100.416------
NE3-110.303------
JAX3-110.297------
LV2-110.285------
CLE3-110.280------
TEN3-110.279------
NYG2-120.256------
CAR3-110.229------

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (Week 13, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 13, Friday)
First to clinch a Division: Buffalo (Week 13, Sunday)

First teams eliminated from a division: New England, Las Vegas, and New York Giants (Week 12, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: New York Giants (Week 13, Thursday)

[Week 1, Final] New Orleans over Los Angeles Chargers
[Week 2, Thursday] Buffalo over New Orleans
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 3, Final] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Thursday] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 8, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 8, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 10, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Friday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 14, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 14, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 14, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 15, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo

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