2015-11-01

2015 World Series Projection, November 1

Kansas City over New York

World Series
NYM 1-3 KC

League Championship Series
KC 4-2 TOR
CHI 0-4 NYM

Division Series
TEX 2-3 TOR
HOU 2-3 KC
NYM 3-2 LAD
CHI 3-1 STL

Wildcard Round
HOU 1-0 NYY
CHI 1-0 PIT

TeamStrengthWin
KC0.556087.97
NYM0.549812.03

Kansas City is on the brink of winning its second World Series title, 30 years after its first win. The 12% chance for New York represents the cube of their chances of a single game, because they'll need to win 3 in a row. To make the math simpler, if the teams were treated as even, it would be 12.5%, because .5 * .5 * .5 is .125. They're not out, they've just got to defy the odds by a little bit, 3 games in a row.

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