2023-10-08

NCAA Football Power Rankings, Week 6

I was nearly ready to write some sort of big apology post when I saw all the differences in this week's data compared to what I had last week. While it appeared to be a lot of problems, several of them could be ignored.
  • My data source added the games for Alderson-Broadus, a college that went bankrupt and closed this summer, but did previously have some games scheduled for 2023. All 5 games were entered as 0-0 ties, which I now ignore.
  • 2 Other canceled games were shown as 0-0 ties.
  • 20 games had score updates that did not change the winner. This was the biggest chunk and had no effect since this is a BCS-era algorithm, which was forbidden to care about the score.
Now, here were the problems.
  • East Tennessee State beat Carson-Newman, which was previously marked as a 0-0 tie. I now flag this scenario because it shouldn't happen under the current college football rules.
  • Northwestern (IA) over Drake, Eastern Kentucky over Southeast Missouri State, University of Texas of the Permian Basin over West Texas A&M, and Lindenwood over Western Illinois were all previously flipped. I should really pay more attention to Lindenwood, being in my own back yard. In fact, as a kid, my back yard literally abutted the Lindenwood campus. 
  • 5 games that didn't exist before
    • Loras College over Benedictine
    • Dayton over Central State
    • Montana Tech over Central Washington
    • Cal Poly over Lincoln University (CA)
    • Harvard over St. Thomas (MN)
In the end, the top 10 was still correct, as well as the bottom 17 teams. #11 and #12 would have swapped, as would #16 and #18. The only other notable change is we would have had a tie for #26 between Duke and Wyoming, as well as a tie at #115 between East Carolina and Southern Mississippi. Those are only notable because ties are pretty rare in my algorithm after the first few weeks.

Now, onto the actual excitement of the week, #1 Texas lost to Oklahoma, your new #1 team, with Texas dropping to #5. Missouri couldn't quite keep the magic going, and lost to LSU despite some early leads, dropping them down to #15.

There are now 14 undefeated teams left, down from 22, and there are just 2 winless teams, down from 4. Connecticut pulled themselves out of the gutter with their first win, and Akron is the new #133.

1Oklahoma6-0
2Louisville6-0
3Michigan6-0
4Georgia6-0
5Texas5-1
6Ohio State5-0
7Penn State5-0
8Ole Miss5-1
9Notre Dame5-2
10USC6-0
11Alabama5-1
12Wyoming5-1
13Washington5-0
14Florida State5-0
15Missouri5-1
16North Carolina5-0
17Oregon State5-1
18Iowa5-1
19Oregon5-0
20James Madison5-0
21Kansas5-1
22Liberty5-0
23Kentucky5-1
24Maryland5-1
25Air Force5-0
26Utah4-1
27UCLA4-1
28Duke4-1
29Ohio5-1
30LSU4-2
31Fresno State5-1
32Wisconsin4-1
33Miami (OH)5-1
34Troy4-2
35Clemson4-2
36Washington State4-1
37Miami4-1
38Colorado4-2
39West Virginia4-1
40Memphis4-1
41Texas A&M4-2
42Toledo5-1
43Jacksonville State5-1
44Marshall4-1
45Tulane4-1
46NC State4-2
47Tennessee4-1
48Rutgers4-2
49Georgia State4-1
50Western Kentucky4-2
51UNLV4-1
52Florida4-2
53Syracuse4-2
54BYU4-1
55Georgia Southern4-1
56Louisiana4-2
57Texas State4-2
58Iowa State3-3
59Minnesota3-3
60Texas Tech3-3
61Kansas State3-2
62Georgia Tech3-3
63Auburn3-2
64South Florida3-3
65Wake Forest3-2
66California3-3
67Appalachian State3-2
68Oklahoma State3-2
69Nebraska3-3
70Northwestern3-3
71SMU3-2
72Boise State3-3
73TCU3-3
74Boston College3-3
75UCF3-3
76Utah State3-3
77South Alabama3-3
78Arizona3-3
79Central Michigan3-3
80Mississippi State3-3
81Tulsa3-3
82Arkansas State3-3
83South Carolina2-3
84Old Dominion3-3
85Bowling Green2-4
86Michigan State2-3
87Eastern Michigan3-3
88Rice3-3
89Florida International3-3
90Coastal Carolina2-3
91Arkansas2-4
92San Diego State2-4
93New Mexico State3-3
94Illinois2-4
95Purdue2-4
96Louisiana Tech3-4
97Navy2-3
98Cincinnati2-3
99UAB2-4
100Florida Atlantic2-3
101Vanderbilt2-5
102Baylor2-4
103Indiana2-3
104Louisiana Monroe2-3
105Colorado State2-3
106Buffalo2-4
107Virginia Tech2-4
108Hawai'i2-4
109Northern Illinois2-4
110New Mexico2-3
111UT San Antonio2-3
112North Texas2-3
113Western Michigan2-4
114Houston2-3
115Army2-3
116Temple2-4
117Virginia1-5
118Stanford1-4
119San José State1-5
120Charlotte1-4
121East Carolina1-4
122Middle Tennessee1-5
123Connecticut1-5
124Arizona State1-5
125Southern Mississippi1-5
126UTEP1-5
127Kent State1-5
128Pittsburgh1-4
129Ball State1-5
130Nevada0-5
131UMass1-6
132Sam Houston State0-5
133Akron1-5


2023 History and #1s
Week 1 Jacksonville State and San Diego State
Week 2 Notre Dame
Week 3 Notre Dame
Week 4 Penn State
Week 5 Texas

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