Superbowl XLVII Projection, Week 8, Sunday

Chicago over Houston

Chicago is favored to make the Superbowl by a slim margin over Atlanta, because Atlanta has much more of a lock on the NFC South and a leg up for a first round bye, counteracting most of Chicago's strength advantage.

Carolina is now at a 1 in 100,000 chance based on the displayed numbers, though there could be rounding putting them as low as 5 in 1,000,000, or 1 in 200,000.

But, Carolina is better than several teams when you use the scoring metrics I use, including my Rams after that abysmal loss to New England in Old England. Still, we're 3-5, so not out of it yet. But it's going to take some surprising wins to keep saying that after the next few weeks.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
CHI	6-1	0.659	71.998	93.620	76.690	43.432	24.026	13.491
HOU	6-1	0.643	95.516	99.259	94.553	56.639	32.037	16.744
NE	5-3	0.643	69.701	89.077	69.648	40.522	22.474	11.733
SF	5-2	0.639	80.252	88.140	62.308	32.626	17.131	9.258
NYG	6-2	0.627	87.429	93.069	69.122	35.552	18.077	9.531
ATL	7-0	0.625	96.201	98.494	87.322	46.448	23.387	12.296
DEN	4-3	0.591	79.122	86.234	58.792	29.389	14.412	6.737
GB	5-3	0.573	16.605	58.843	31.442	13.919	6.284	2.968
TB	3-4	0.559	3.535	22.247	10.349	4.398	1.922	0.881
MIA	4-3	0.556	26.552	64.579	38.254	17.623	8.023	3.471
PIT	4-3	0.548	38.517	61.403	35.610	15.642	6.984	2.966
MIN	5-3	0.536	10.662	43.803	21.482	8.728	3.612	1.572
BAL	5-2	0.525	56.661	78.288	51.031	21.701	9.093	3.663
SD	3-4	0.522	16.126	37.826	19.222	7.916	3.358	1.342
SEA	4-4	0.516	5.140	22.434	9.648	3.719	1.470	0.611
ARI	4-3	0.516	13.298	30.576	14.000	5.426	2.144	0.893
WAS	3-5	0.476	3.746	12.646	4.819	1.672	0.598	0.225
DET	3-4	0.475	0.735	8.434	3.205	1.105	0.394	0.149
CIN	3-4	0.461	3.894	13.581	5.872	2.038	0.754	0.259
NO	2-5	0.458	0.245	2.515	0.918	0.303	0.104	0.038
DAL	3-4	0.446	4.491	13.348	4.782	1.532	0.505	0.177
NYJ	3-5	0.436	1.941	11.053	4.258	1.399	0.490	0.157
CLE	2-6	0.431	0.928	2.647	1.031	0.324	0.111	0.035
IND	4-3	0.428	4.292	29.868	12.162	3.935	1.347	0.422
PHI	3-4	0.420	4.334	8.589	2.908	0.867	0.267	0.087
CAR	1-6	0.417	0.019	0.140	0.044	0.013	0.004	0.001
BUF	3-4	0.412	1.806	9.666	3.646	1.135	0.372	0.111
OAK	3-4	0.409	4.448	12.622	4.768	1.448	0.465	0.138
STL	3-5	0.393	1.311	3.100	0.960	0.263	0.075	0.023
KC	1-6	0.351	0.305	0.515	0.161	0.041	0.011	0.003
TEN	3-5	0.350	0.169	2.858	0.843	0.211	0.058	0.015
JAC	1-6	0.343	0.024	0.525	0.150	0.037	0.010	0.002

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)

First to 99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thurssday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]