Superbowl XLVII Projection, Week 5, Sunday

Houston over Atlanta

Well this is sort of interesting, even though the projected Superbowl matchup hasn't changed. San Francisco and Chicago are now the strongest teams in the league because of their big wins, but a solid undefeated record in a weak division will guarantee a higher seed and get you much further than a good record atop a good division.

Even though Tennessee and Carolina are 1-4 and Cleveland is 0-5, they're all about 1 in 3000 shots to win the Superbowl now.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SF	4-1	0.629	53.632	76.674	58.600	33.004	18.276	10.400
CHI	4-1	0.626	51.802	79.711	60.895	34.073	18.785	10.623
HOU	4-0	0.605	89.302	96.207	85.898	49.744	27.861	14.426
ATL	5-0	0.594	94.405	95.911	80.519	42.577	21.692	11.556
MIN	4-1	0.587	41.883	70.863	50.490	25.648	12.914	6.786
BAL	4-1	0.580	67.467	87.800	70.277	38.223	19.945	9.829
NE	3-2	0.580	63.098	76.620	54.737	28.864	15.092	7.434
NYG	3-2	0.569	41.579	51.347	31.317	15.011	7.205	3.653
SEA	3-2	0.547	10.218	33.329	19.204	8.837	4.077	1.978
SD	3-2	0.545	58.592	72.522	48.786	23.792	11.454	5.231
ARI	4-1	0.543	25.322	55.485	34.307	15.685	7.141	3.431
DEN	2-3	0.539	34.522	48.713	28.711	13.604	6.490	2.926
PIT	2-2	0.508	16.081	40.369	22.938	10.197	4.554	1.916
STL	3-2	0.505	10.829	29.383	15.395	6.430	2.693	1.195
GB	2-3	0.502	4.791	14.548	7.236	2.994	1.253	0.552
MIA	2-3	0.500	15.665	32.669	17.214	7.446	3.271	1.351
CIN	3-2	0.493	16.146	45.140	24.846	10.629	4.575	1.856
WAS	2-3	0.489	16.313	20.917	9.784	3.870	1.549	0.661
TB	1-3	0.481	3.344	8.205	3.799	1.495	0.594	0.250
NO	1-4	0.479	1.609	4.071	1.851	0.728	0.290	0.121
DET	1-3	0.476	1.523	6.076	2.789	1.083	0.427	0.177
IND	2-2	0.465	9.512	34.600	17.442	6.941	2.835	1.077
PHI	3-2	0.452	25.242	30.805	14.112	5.109	1.861	0.730
NYJ	2-2	0.448	16.660	29.232	14.449	5.554	2.157	0.784
DAL	2-2	0.447	16.866	20.784	8.961	3.197	1.151	0.446
CAR	1-4	0.433	0.641	1.890	0.742	0.258	0.091	0.034
CLE	0-5	0.428	0.306	1.811	0.744	0.265	0.099	0.034
BUF	2-3	0.416	4.576	13.238	5.650	1.979	0.712	0.238
KC	1-4	0.411	3.188	5.796	2.343	0.802	0.284	0.094
OAK	1-3	0.408	3.699	8.167	3.413	1.173	0.414	0.136
TEN	1-4	0.376	0.547	3.126	1.109	0.344	0.112	0.034
JAC	1-4	0.373	0.639	3.988	1.442	0.444	0.144	0.043

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]