2022-01-23

Super Bowl LVI Projection, Divisional Saturday

Buffalo over Tampa Bay

Well, we lost both #1 seeds yesterday, and yet my projection did not change. The records and the point differentials didn't line up very well this year, and you can see that Green Bay and Tennessee were deemed to be weaker than Arizona, Dallas, New England, and even Indianapolis, who missed the playoffs.

Now for Sunday's games. All 4 teams are fighting to host their conference championship game, a consequence of both #1 seeds losing yesterday.

Los Angeles at Tampa Bay (62%)
Much like last week, I'll root for the 3 remaining St. Louis Rams. Maybe Johnny Hekker can throw a TD.

Buffalo (67%) at Kansas City
Kansas City is my default home team, so I'll always root for them. Unless there's a fun chaos scenario I guess.

Rooting Record by Round:
Wildcard: 4-2
Divisional: 1-1

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
BUF11-60.824++++++67.148.232.8
TB13-40.752++++++61.640.320.3
CIN10-70.647++++++++33.515.5
SF10-70.616-++++++38.913.8
KC12-50.696++++++32.918.39.5
LAR12-50.654++++++38.420.88.1
NE10-70.780-++----
DAL12-50.764++++----
IND9-80.654------
ARI11-60.649-++----
GB13-40.641++++++---
TEN12-50.624++++++---
PHI9-80.605-++----
NO9-80.562------
SEA7-100.557------
DEN7-100.530------
LAC9-80.524------
MIN8-90.498------
BAL8-90.490------
CLE8-90.454------
MIA9-80.433------
PIT9-7-10.390-++----
LV10-70.382-++----
WAS7-100.315------
CHI6-110.309------
CAR5-120.299------
DET3-13-10.252------
ATL7-100.241------
NYG4-130.193------
HOU4-130.192------
NYJ4-130.189------
JAC3-140.145------

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a Division: Green Bay (Week 15, Sunday)
First to clinch a Bye: Green Bay (Week 17, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: Detroit (Week 11, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from the playoffs: Jacksonville, Houston (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 2, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Denver
[Week 3, Sunday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 3, Final] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Thursday] Denver over Carolina
[Week 4, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 4, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 5, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 6, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 7, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 7, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 8, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 8, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Thursday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 9, Sunday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 10, Sunday] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 10, Final] Buffalo over Arizona
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 11, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Thursday] Arizona over Buffalo
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 12, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 13, Final] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over Arizona
[Week 14, Final] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Thursday] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Saturday] New England over Tampa Bay
[Week 15, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Monday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Saturday] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Sunday] Buffalo over Dallas
[Week 16, Final] Buffalo over Dallas
[Week 17, Sunday] Buffalo over Green Bay
[Week 17, Final] Buffalo over Green Bay
[Week 18, Saturday] Buffalo over Dallas
[Week 18, Final] Buffalo over Dallas
[Wildcard Saturday] Buffalo over Dallas
[Wildcard Sunday] Buffalo over Tampa Bay
[Wildcard Monday] Buffalo over Tampa Bay

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