2016-10-29

2016 World Series Projection, October 29

Cleveland over Chicago

World Series
CHC 1-2 CLE

League Championship Series
TOR 1-4 CLE
LAD 2-4 CHC

Division Series
TOR 3-0 TEX
BOS 0-3 CLE
SF 1-3 CHC
LAD 3-2 WAS


Wildcard Round
BAL 0-1 TOR
SF 1-0 NYM

TeamStrengthWin
CHC0.668248.92
CLE0.564851.08

These World Series games run a little past my normal bedtime, so I always find myself checking the results in the morning even though I watched the whole thing, just to make sure I didn't dream the end. I think it stems from the time I dreamed the Blues scored something like 6 goals to overcome the Maple Leafs in an elimination game, then was re-disappointed in the morning when I saw the real score again. Anyway, I indeed saw Cleveland hang on for dear life to a 1-0 lead. It really felt like Chicago was going to win the game, even though they never broke a 36% chance of winning after Cleveland scored, according to the FanGraphs tracker. Cleveland has regained the homefield advantage, but I don't think they'll want to wait for Game 6 and 7 to win again. They're now just slightly favored in the series, about 51-49.

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