2011-12-20

Superbowl XLVI Projection, Week 15, Final

San Francisco over New England

3 more teams clinched playoff spots this week; New England with a win, and Baltimore and Pittsburgh despite losses.  It looks like Tebow will probably lead the Broncos into the playoffs, but the 6-8 Chiefs aren't out of contention yet.  A win this week along with Denver and San Diego losses would allow them the opportunity to beat Denver for the AFC West in week 17, in a game that would likely get put on Sunday Night Football January 1 since it's win-and-in-lose-and-out, like the Rams-Seahawks last year.  Wow, to remember the Rams were a game away from hosting a playoff game last year seems a little surreal.

TEAMRecordDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SF11-3++96.70161.89537.32023.515
GB13-1+++67.93934.04719.864
NO11-392.709+68.76028.82614.7397.939
NE11-3++91.51355.38229.78213.698
HOU10-4++79.48644.56023.55210.662
BAL10-466.063+90.68847.76624.72910.812
PIT10-433.937+83.05737.27217.1226.693
ATL9-57.29196.30642.75613.8114.8972.022
DET9-5-88.15041.40312.9974.3701.751
DAL8-683.79183.86340.27812.2104.0161.580
PHI6-86.3536.3532.7790.7450.2180.077
NYJ8-6-51.78517.2055.6782.1360.629
SD7-74.60418.8936.2972.0300.7320.209
CIN8-6-18.2335.8921.8770.6900.196
CHI7-7-6.6072.0920.5570.1610.055
MIA5-9------
SEA7-7-4.3351.1230.2830.0840.027
TEN7-7-5.6881.6410.4620.1490.037
CAR5-9------
ARI7-7-4.2740.9660.1790.0370.009
NYG7-79.85510.1123.1420.5580.1100.027
BUF5-9------
DEN8-684.91486.53420.5984.3050.9650.173
WAS5-9------
OAK7-76.94215.3283.2050.6260.1380.023
MIN2-12------
CLE4-10------
JAC4-10------
TB4-10------
KC6-83.5403.5400.4190.0430.0050.000
IND1-13------
STL2-12------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Detroit (week 3)
First to 15% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 6)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (week 3)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Detroit, San Francisco, Green Bay (week 5)
First to 95% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco, Green Bay (week 6)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 8)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 10)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)
First to 100% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a division: Green Bay, San Francisco (week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: Green Bay (week 14, Sunday)

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