2011-12-05

Superbowl XLVI Projection, Week 13, Sunday

San Francisco over Houston

San Francisco and Green Bay have clinched their divisions, and San Francisco looks artificially strong after destroying my Rams 26-0 yesterday.  More analysis to come after MNF.

TEAMRecordDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SF10-2++98.24562.52437.16721.560
HOU9-399.30799.63584.33249.14027.89714.617
GB12-0++99.97564.95132.66217.485
BAL9-376.90299.76291.92453.87928.05313.937
NE9-398.87999.64285.00643.57022.00510.419
NO9-395.60499.82264.41827.27213.8096.807
PIT9-323.08099.74176.10535.19916.2537.198
CHI7-5-70.61833.34011.7064.4461.761
DET7-5-59.76729.56110.3203.9021.544
DAL7-584.88287.26242.66913.9645.0181.896
MIA4-8-0.0060.0020.0010.0000.000
NYJ7-51.10945.87216.5775.7172.1060.716
ATL7-54.39662.34524.9717.7452.6220.924
TEN7-50.69329.0479.9913.3561.2020.394
CIN7-50.01818.6916.2862.0660.7140.227
PHI4-80.5020.5320.2030.0500.0130.004
BUF5-70.0120.1240.0350.0090.0020.001
SD4-70.9371.1470.3210.0820.0220.006
NYG6-614.60716.0875.6501.2590.3110.082
CAR4-8-0.0140.0040.0010.0000.000
OAK7-535.78341.02711.4252.7730.7060.169
SEA5-7-2.3280.6480.1410.0340.008
DEN7-561.08463.10017.6664.1651.0340.242
ARI5-7-1.1110.2920.0630.0150.004
WAS4-80.0080.0830.0190.0030.0010.000
MIN2-10------
CLE4-8-0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
JAC3-8-0.0040.0010.0000.0000.000
TB4-8-0.0300.0050.0010.0000.000
KC5-72.1962.2040.3300.0430.0060.001
IND0-12------
STL2-10------
First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Detroit (week 3)
First to 15% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 6)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (week 3)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Detroit, San Francisco, Green Bay (week 5)
First to 95% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco, Green Bay (week 6)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 8)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 10)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)
First to 100% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a division: Green Bay, San Francisco (week 12, Sunday)

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