2018-11-05

Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 9, Sunday

Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City

New Orleans beat LA, but the Rams hold onto the top NFC spot for now. Part of that is because they are 8-1 vs New Orleans' 7-1 record, and part is because their strength is so much higher. I still wear my Rams jacket when the weather calls for it, and got asked about the game by 2 different people yesterday, including Yankees 1B Luke Voit at an autograph signing. There's always a lot of interest when an undefeated team faces a big challenge like the Rams did yesterday going to New Orleans.

Kansas City won to remain atop the AFC, so both leaders are now 8-1. Buffalo got annihilated again, 41-9, so they've fallen to be the weakest team in the league. Fun fact, the way I calculate the strengths, the worst a team could be after 9 games is a .219, and Buffalo's reasonably close to that at .251.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
LAR8-10.65397.6299.3792.1154.3631.2817.37
KC8-10.64387.6899.7492.2354.2730.4916.44
NE7-20.61793.2897.7286.5948.1124.8112.68
CHI5-30.64368.6981.3659.3932.8518.129.86
NO7-10.59061.9793.8975.2338.3918.258.91
CAR6-20.57434.6281.7754.7526.0912.055.69
LAC6-20.57412.3284.8149.6122.8710.925.10
HOU6-30.56779.3786.3151.9123.8211.075.10
PIT5-2-10.57062.4778.0148.9222.7410.624.92
BAL4-50.61512.6637.6121.6110.765.612.86
MIN5-3-10.53424.2645.8022.909.704.191.81
SEA4-40.5692.3734.3217.828.033.751.75
PHI4-40.54933.5237.5419.168.273.641.63
WAS5-30.47344.5652.9624.478.823.221.20
DAL3-40.54221.8827.3513.775.842.531.12
CIN5-30.47424.8148.9121.727.852.941.09
ATL4-40.5033.1725.7712.354.811.920.78
IND3-50.53110.2916.757.863.231.400.59
MIA5-40.4236.1128.7111.143.551.170.38
GB3-4-10.4774.9313.125.461.990.750.28
TEN3-40.4417.649.973.981.330.460.16
JAC3-50.4132.715.882.130.650.210.07
DEN3-60.4840.002.641.110.400.150.06
DET3-50.4422.133.541.390.470.170.06
NYJ3-60.4690.612.651.110.400.150.06
TB3-50.4320.242.991.130.360.120.04
CLE2-6-10.3930.050.270.090.020.010.00
SF2-70.4400.000.110.040.010.000.00
NYG1-70.3890.040.050.020.000.000.00
ARI2-60.3210.000.070.020.000.000.00
OAK1-70.3230.000.010.000.000.000.00
BUF2-70.2510.000.020.000.000.000.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 4, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 6, Final] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City

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