2018-11-19

Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 11, Sunday

New Orleans over Kansas City

For the first time all season, LA is not the favorite to win the NFC. We'll see if they can recapture the spot after Monday night's game, although I'd say this is still a fair comparison now because both teams have played 10 games. LA also passed the 99.99% mark for making the playoffs, something they were slightly below last week, though at one point my chart rounded them up from 99.985%+. We still only have 3 eliminations from divisions. Sometime next week we'll probably see the eliminations start happening quickly.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NO9-10.68897.0499.9295.7259.8033.1519.06
KC9-10.66594.8199.9095.1655.7831.9316.38
LAR9-10.66099.9399.9992.7852.5626.8914.62
CHI7-30.68390.7797.6874.8041.1622.8413.00
PIT7-2-10.62791.3096.3573.5139.5519.959.43
NE7-30.57993.6096.1567.2931.4514.135.99
LAC7-30.6035.1984.4946.5321.8810.734.81
HOU7-30.57275.5187.8654.4324.5910.924.55
BAL5-50.6216.5850.3927.7713.516.893.21
IND5-50.58316.5435.5317.927.983.721.59
SEA5-50.5610.0747.8022.988.713.591.58
WAS6-40.49864.4175.8735.4511.513.941.50
CAR6-40.5152.9253.8724.218.233.021.19
DAL5-50.53128.9738.6618.676.592.481.02
MIN5-4-10.5126.2742.3418.156.102.240.88
GB4-5-10.5082.4123.149.503.141.150.45
TEN5-50.4727.8614.775.932.020.720.23
ATL4-60.4770.048.603.250.990.340.12
CIN5-50.4092.1014.304.811.370.420.11
MIA5-50.3866.0414.544.521.190.340.09
PHI4-60.4446.427.462.970.820.240.08
DEN4-60.4860.004.051.610.550.210.07
DET4-60.4210.543.911.280.330.100.03
CLE3-6-10.4130.020.770.250.070.020.01
NYJ3-70.4080.230.370.120.030.010.00
JAC3-70.4000.090.370.120.030.010.00
TB3-70.4040.000.390.120.030.010.00
NYG3-70.4070.200.330.110.030.010.00
SF2-80.432-0.030.010.000.000.00
BUF3-70.2730.120.150.030.010.000.00
ARI2-80.290-0.010.000.000.000.00
OAK2-80.288-0.000.000.000.000.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 4, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 6, Final] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Sunday] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 10, Final] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 11, Thursday] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams

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