2018-11-12

Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 10, Sunday

Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams

LA keeps winning games by slim margins, cutting down their strength a bit each week, and Kansas City finally caught and passed them. So the matchup is the same, but the projected result flips today.

We've got our first division eliminations, with Oakland unable to catch Kansas City at 8 losses vs their 9 wins. I also show San Francisco eliminated at 2-7, even though they could tie with LA at 9-7. I'll dig into that more tomorrow if they win on Monday night to see if they are actually eliminated. With a loss, they would be for sure.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
KC9-10.66587.6399.9093.6855.6032.3117.54
LAR9-10.66099.9699.9994.2555.8330.9917.00
NO8-10.63887.1798.9989.5351.0126.2013.75
CHI6-30.66173.9990.5967.0536.9520.6111.34
PIT6-2-10.61686.5692.8769.5336.8518.288.97
NE7-30.57993.4795.8969.2233.1615.056.82
LAC7-20.60412.3792.1555.0026.3513.146.28
HOU6-30.56757.8377.2945.5720.529.174.04
BAL4-50.6157.2437.3420.7210.035.092.49
CAR6-30.51612.2067.2333.9812.905.032.02
WAS6-30.50266.4074.6436.8313.324.991.94
TEN5-40.54532.5945.4223.6810.044.281.80
MIN5-3-10.53418.2551.6224.729.714.021.68
SEA4-50.5550.0425.4312.184.942.150.95
GB4-4-10.5147.4331.2413.835.122.030.81
DAL4-50.52417.4722.9110.934.141.650.67
PHI4-50.53416.1019.349.403.641.480.62
IND4-50.5369.2316.967.813.151.340.55
ATL4-50.4830.6015.216.342.160.790.29
CIN5-40.4166.1523.788.682.590.810.24
MIA5-50.3866.2114.084.561.230.350.10
DEN3-60.4840.001.820.740.250.100.04
DET3-60.4210.331.500.530.150.050.02
JAC3-60.4100.351.170.400.110.040.01
TB3-60.4070.031.080.350.100.030.01
CLE3-6-10.4130.050.850.280.080.030.01
NYJ3-70.4080.200.330.110.030.010.00
SF2-70.440-0.160.060.020.010.00
NYG1-70.3900.030.040.020.000.000.00
BUF3-70.2730.120.160.030.010.000.00
ARI2-70.2980.000.030.010.000.000.00
OAK1-80.294-0.000.000.000.000.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 4, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 6, Final] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City

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